Member Info for NoelShempsky

"I guess someone will be feeling a little bit silly now" - what do you think of today's fall-back Willowman?

I am a shareholder. Go back on this board and you will see that I have been posting here for many years.

When trolls from another board come on here attacking me, I will defend myself.

If you want to make your point to the trolls, then you need to go on the board where they came from (AAU) to post your comment there.

Hi Nero,

Thanks for your thoughtful reply, and it got me thinking about that long period of the cyclical market.

Firstly, my original comment (Mon 10:11) was about the share price and only the share price, and in my post of Mon 11:46, I explained why I say "no chance". I should have added a bit about how, for years, I have been reading forecasts of the "big rise soon" about the gold price and gold stock share prices - it never happens. That is a big factor in my gloomy view - constant let downs by these predictions of massive gains.

To be fair, "no chance" is a term that slips easily off the tongue, or keyboard, and, I do recognise that there is a chance that it will happen, but the chance is negligible - in my estimation - about 0.1% chance - so "no chance" is only a slightly inappropriate term.

You say - "when the next bull market reaches it's peak" - I agree with you that the price will be many times higher, but when will that peak be?

We aren't on completely opposite sides of an argument here. My phrase of "no chance" was a rushed and poorly chosen expression, but, above, I have clarified my position on that point.

Let's hope that 0.1% chance comes up against the odds - "It could be us", to borrow a slogan.

Now 32% jump.

Yes, you've had a nice jump today, but it doesn't invalidate my views.

I took my cash out of AAU and caught a really good gain in ECK - much bigger than today's 29% on AAU.

As it happens, one that I gave up on and sold out of has just issued an RNS that has sent the sp up by 28%. The jump in the sp could be just a temporary spike, but it could easily be of the start of a bigger rise. We never know.

3p - wait and see.

It is too soon to say whether this jump in the sp just a temporary spike, or it is the start of a bigger, sustained rise.

ElectricLion - I meant to end my last message with "Sorry to be the bearer of bad news".

You say - "you'd never invest in anything unless you thought there was a chance it would turn out well" - very true. That is why I got in to CNR - I thought good things would come soon.

A while ago I bailed out of some other miners that appeared to be going nowhere, but I have a bit more confidence in CNR, so I'll sit in CNR for just a bit longer hoping hope the big gain comes sooner rather than later.

I'm glad we see eye to eye, and may all in CNR enjoy a load of good luck soon.

Fair points ElectricLion, but while we wait for that end game, our cash is tied up here and thus missing out on gains elsewhere.

Even if you are right about this becoming a very valuable company, sitting and waiting doesn't always work. I've been in other miners - great companies, well run, low cost of production, expanding reserves - everything was great - but a company that I thought was worth easily 150p, got taken over at 15p. I felt robbed, and that has happened more than once.

The small fry like us never get the big gains. Sharks come along and grab the big money and they do it without taking the risk of sitting waiting for years and hoping.

Gosh, that's sneaky. I didn't type those asterisks. The site swapped my word that rhymes with rollocks, for those stars.

nero120 - I'm being realistic.

I've had this debate on several other gold miner boards. I've been in gold stocks since 2002. I've seen the rise that took them to a peak in 2011 and the drop back since then. That is a lot of experience.

I hold shares in other gold miners that, on paper should be worth many times the current share price - but the share price never rises to reflect the theoretical value that the analysis says it should be at.

I had this debate over and over with people who keep forecasting that a much higher share price is just around the corner. It never happens.

So, in, let's say six months time, the sp might be at 50p, 60p or 90p, what ever, or it might be, as I expect, still stuck in the 18p to 25p range. We have a binary situation with two possible outcomes. Let's just wait and see eh? No point in saying anything more because all we are offering are opinions. Let's just wait and who time proves right.

GLA - 50p would be great, 75p would be fantastic and 90p would be the dog's *******s.

90p - don't get me wrong. I am a shareholder and would be absolutely ecstatic if this hit 90p - but there is no chance. There is more chance of me digging up gold nuggets while digging in my garden. Having said that, thanks for the posting Slippery1, I will enjoy a few minutes of dreaming that it could happen and of what I will do with the fortune I make.

I see that I caused you to waste your time on Sunday. Most satisfying and amusing.

I didn't read the words, just saw the name and ignored the inane drivel.

I see that I caused you to waste your time on Sunday. Most satisfying and amusing.

Go on the ECK board ASH, and see my success in forecasting. ECK is one of my big winners - I mean big.

I don't read the tripe from the American imperialist, but in scrolling quickly past his posts, I get an idea of the length. I find it highly amusing to think of the time it must take him to write all that rubbish and that my jabs have cause the chump to waste so much of his time. most amusing and pleasing. From his trolling, I see that Ash has joined the Mr Angry club. I've hooked another one. It is so easy.

Take a look at the Shanta board, SHG. Ash is trolling me - why is he so obsessed with me, what is his hidden agenda?

He can't put up a decent debate on here so he goes seeking allies from another board.

Very sinister. Be very suspicious of the motives of people who do that sort of thing.

Well well, you are obsessed with me aren't you Ash, to be trolling like this.

What is your hidden agenda - mate.

From johnpwh to DJ - "I don know why but I am sensing hostility".

I don't bother reading the tripe from the American imperialist, but I can imagine the sort of thing to which john refers.

Due to his honesty, johnpwh has just gone up in my estimation.

I see AAU as a good company, well run by competent management, but sadly the sp is immune to good news, and so I say, with regret, one to avoid.

Sneering - that's all youv'e got.

See a forecast I made in June, documented on the ECK board -

"In my opinion, ECK is in a classic Double Bottom Reversal and will soon take out its last high of 53p."

It happened as I said, admittedly a bit later than expected, but the recent general market jitters knocked it back temporarily. Sneer all you like, I've made a pile on this rise.

When did anyone on here ever make a forecast that came about?

Sneering - the last refuge of a loser.