Member Info for NicetoMichu

I'd like to nice top up make here at 3.50p please, Sir... but see Mr WOS like 4p base to help him stay very relax, Sir .. and see him look forward to happy ending too, Sir..

I too like happy ending, Sir ... without feather especially, Sir ...but like 3.50p top up first please, Sir

This still falling meaningfully today I see .. alas/ouch.. maybe best I sit and watch for a while longer before looking to add here now..

(This is a small range trading bet only and so i've done minimal research on this co.. so maybe i should even do some research :-) .. PS; Might the punchy selling by size holder/s here be down to them buying in here for future revenue growth in energy supply side of the business ....more than services provision side.. and they're now concerned about prospects on this side of business?

Alternative alternative three letters to RUN, Mr Zap - and thanks for such good advice btw - is ROB.. as in how plenty of shareholders might feel to the value of 10's of millions gbp across CB's AIM Empire of legal entities :-)

Alternative three letters ..

REP

as in the reputation Mr Colin Bird has.. not always justified...but it's a problem, and not a minor one ..

A thought stimulating post there Mr Zap.. thanks.. and while I absolutely agree that low inflation/interest rates and good global economic performance for a sustained period are fundamentally important to the future of Bushranger, I only agree somewhat with your comment '' A Copper spot price will not have a real influence on a valuation per-sae''

Psychologically, a sustained seriously bullish USD 10k ish per tonne copper is very important towards a sporting chance of a meaningful Bushranger sale event occurring in 2025 or 26 imho..

(For context, I think copper has only once been over 10k USD a tonne once previously - 2011 ish - and even the USD 8k + per tonne we're recently at is a good/ very good price versus long term historic averages .. Also -for whatever it may or may not be worth - I note that Mr Bird gave his latest PoC forward view on that Galileo podcast that Flipper recently kindly posted here as rising to USD 10.5 k Per tone q3 ish 2024 and thereafter in the USD 9.5 k to 11 k per tonne range for a couple of years ..

For me, such a USD 10k ish per tonne PoC is one of the minimum requirements - alongside low interest rates / inflation, strong global economy/copper demand etc - to see Bushranger have even a chance of meaningful sale event in 25 or 26 )

Very impressive interview imho..

Potentially a good long-term play here, seemingly (Which is less my focus as I'm more into a number of months holding range trading orientation rather the years holding, but I make some exceptions as I go)

I'll stick with my 350p+ range trading opportunity shout here .. although achieving it is pushed further out now.. and if this goes back into sub 250p range, I'd happily top up here.. it may easily not do, I'll guess (but, often, anything can happen whenever on AIM.. even at this the high quality end, seemingly)

The results seemed decent/good to me - but I've not followed/analysed this remotely closely, and so may easily be off with that view -and I'm surprised at such a fall here this morning.

Maybe much of the buying that has underpinned this latest rally - and the fairly recent rally that was dumped hard into from 400 p ish too - is done by one or two players.. and them dumping their lot hard this morning has a big fall effect .. equivalently to them buying had a big rise effect..

My latest bet is small here - and still in profit at 270p .. just - and I'll happily sit on it and watch see.... but my recently offered 'trade' here with target of 350+... which looked like it was coming soon yesterday.. seems a poor shout all of a sudden now, alas

Generally, this seems a well run excellently balance sheeted and profitable company in a prospective sector.. yet the volatility here is pretty crazy.. I'm used of such in the many dodgy AIM Shares I play, but for such like here is salutary...

showing what an illiquid mess even the quality end of AIM is these days: sad

That buy was nice/interesting, in fairness.. but disappointed to see it being followed by a few few k sells .. hence no price rise.. and sellers at this level is salutary

At least the volume should now be over 2m here today.. like Friday was.. first trading days of this month over 2m traded .. still abject .. but less so, at least

(Re CB's salary.. his other AIM companies are paying him too of course .. and when he gets bored of one he just flips to focusing on another(s) that's more fun at that time.. so, in the round, he's entertained and well paid.. all the rest is - not - for the Bird(s))

Nice to see this waking back up.. After a share of bad Paradox luck, here's to an equivalent share of good Paradox luck to all fellow Zephyrites from here forward !

''In the absence of S.Sudan i get an overall value of 67p less 27.6p in debt = just under 40p/share compared to 26p now.''

My rule of thumb for a long time here now is to divide Zengas's - brilliantly worked , in fairness - valuation analysis by two and go with that as my s/p target view here.

And 20 p instead of that 40p figure he works below is not far off my view on this maybe - but hopefully not, obviously - going as low as 15p ish on coming back to trading here if South Sudan kinda dead in the water then, and no other major deal completed - or in an unequivocally advanced state - at that time either. (I'd add on top the recent RNS - Consolidation of Stubb Creek Field Interest - as a small medium positive to push my 'maybe going as low as 15p ish' view up a bit towards that 20p figure)

I note my previous share price predictions over the years here versus Zengas's versus the actual s/p chart as support of my rule of thumb... and believe that to be a reasonably compelling support

That's not to say that Zengas's analysis is anything but utterly brilliant here.... and much appreciated too.. but s/p's are influenced by myriad non 'fundamental' factors; very especially on AIM imho

PS; I too cannot wait for the Zengas £2 party... which is of course possible here in due course... as are a myriad of other share price outcomes..... and great if Tier is a young man today too.

More incredible bull......g again... to save the day?

Not putting a year with that prediction, Sir ?

Or, like Mr Professional, you can be...... in... out... in..... out... etc again ... and using shorts to shake it all about.... etc again..

So header not say it all on this occasion, Sir

Agree Webis should stay away from any sort of direct entry into a saturated UK Market

Them continuing to make a small annual loss is/will be off putting, granted.. and the chance that might turn into a bigger loss again further off putting.... so, as well as focusing on finding someone to buy the co out or such like, they need focus harder on fine tuning their current operations to get this back to even small profit... that in itself would give the s/p a punchy pick up, I'd expect... and increase attractiveness / value for selling out.. etc

More generally, the market cap here is under 5m gbp now.. so never mind 75m buy out value.. even 25m gbp would be a big win for most involved here.. and any sort pf rumour/ wider sector merger / acquisition etc can see a spike in s/p here too .... so this gives trading opportunities for the patient as well. (I've range traded this decently for years.. and always keep a core holding here too.. and have topped up twice in recent months at what I believe are lowly s/p levels...)

''I think it's a sad demonstration of just how much damage to his reputation CB has done in the past 12 months or so.''

A look at the traded volume here for the last year brings this point brutally home. I struggle for words to verbalise how abject it has been.. you're talking very approx an average of 25 m shares traded - buys and sells - per month it that time....equating to a million odd shares a trading day.. accepting s/p was on average a fair bit higher than currently thru that time, you're still only talking v approx 15k gbp a days traded on average per day over the last year.. again that's buys and sells together ..frightening, really...

BUT

....peoples memories can be shorter than you'd think .. and new blood enters the market/sector as we go too .. and on fundamentals this seems a clear buy at these levels imho .... and meaningful news can beget meaningful volume pick ups.. and volume begets volume ..etc..

This time next year.

You know it makes sense.

Nice news yesterday.. but if SS is still progressive and still only semi close to completion stage, then I'm absolutely all for another extension of our suspension.

AK very much needs to come out of suspension with a blatantly big win under his belt imho.. if not SS then a n other ..

(yesterdays news is small/medium win in my mind, for context)

If Mr Professional open big short soon... and transformational RNS drop soon after.. Mr WOS might expect Mr Professional cry like baby, Sir ..

When he stop crying .. he think best bin Mr Professional name and come back with new name here to disguise.. If he pick Mr Amateur, Mr WOS know who he is straight away, Sir

PS:

''A lot of money has been paid by private investors to fund these ‘companies’ but the more interesting question is how much money has been paid to Colin Bird, over these periods?''

For my info, what's your best rough guess on this number Kwadoko? ( and can you break that big figure out a bit too please)

Entertaining to look in here this morning and see kwadoku back.. and a Brucey bonus of oldschoolview banging out a no brainer post too !

I've ticked up all kwadoko's posts for some time now, in fairness.. as the share price is indeed the benchmark ...and xtr's is

- sadly - totally, utterly and completely abject...

BUT.. even I, as a Colin Bird critic, feel that a Market Cap of 8m ish gbp here is ridiculously low versus the assets and forward cash from Manica sale here.... and there has been no placement for 3 ish years here either .. and that placement then was 'cleverly' done - at 5.6p - when the sun was shining ..... and there's no placement to come in 24 either.... with drilling of an interesting - hot Zambia - prospect to come from kitty funds.. and a Bushranger holding that PoC rises might readily sooninsh bring back into the decent asset category.... all leading me to offer that I readily sit patiently on my holding here.... as I value this company at at least 1.5p a share around now..

You Sir are the Noixtimist