RE: Edison ..new note.3 Sep 2024 07:40
Possibilities :
1. Nanoco is not the optimum enabling technology for SWIR and ST dumped the whole project because of it despite accepting the product after stringent testing and evaluation
2. ST have an alternative supplier to Nanoco but if so why would ST employees be posting about project cancellation - surely they would be reassigned using the alternative material?
3. ST have failed to commercialise their product (which is what the Edison note implied- "We believe the termination is a result of the partner not making adequate headway in securing high-volume design wins for its sensors, combined with a broader refocusing of strategic priorities on their part. STMicro announced a profit warning and restructuring plan in July 2024" ) This could be for any number of reasons unrelated to the Nanoco component.
I'm leaning towards 3. Nanoco has always guided for a handheld and sensor sales in the 000's millions and that ST would not invest in the tech otherwise.... for some reason they have failed to secure high-volume design wins which suggests to me either no appetite for the tech in mobiles (yet) or their design for the global shutter camera was not correct. It is possible that there is another design bidding for integration into iphone/galaxy phones that is better in terms of performance, size, power consumption that has been accepted and ST; rather than go back to the drawing board, have decided enough is enough under the backdrop of its restructuring plan (cost cutting ergo headcount reduction) to invest elsewhere for the time being. They have not lost anything at the moment but could waste money redesigning the array and still not have it adopted.
There could be some tactics from the OEM as well in relation to price. I doubt SWIR is dead but it's clearly a major issue that could result in the demise of Nanoco as a limited company unless they take immediate action themselves to reduce costs by at least half.