RE: Funding29 Jun 2024 07:36
Tbob418,
It's no secret that PREM will need to replace the sorters at Zulu. This is told in the final results and has been much discussed before. I think it's highly unlikely that the payment for this will come from Stark, at least not in the short term, and probably not without the time and expense of litigation against Stark. GR does make it clear however that Zulu can produce SC6 in the meantime without taking this step, by careful selection of ore from the mine.
An improved magnetic separation unit is still needed, which may currently affect the quality (and hence value) of SC6 produced at Zulu. I believe this is a considerably cheaper fix than replacing the sorters. GR has previously stated that the Zulu resource is relatively low in iron content, so is resolvable.
GR has also said he'd like to make improvements to the bagging equipment at the end of the plant, to improve efficiency. This however will not prevent the production of SC6, and should be a fairly simple undertaking.
All this being said, none of these items are thought to be essential to getting Zulu into profitable production of SC6, according to GR, in the final results.
The share price briefly hit 1p, on anticipation of completion of the plant, a little over a year ago. The value of SC6 has plummeted since then, as has confidence in GR's ability to deliver a working plant. Personally, I attribute at least 80% of the blame for this with Stark. If a different contractor had been chosen we might have a working plant by now, or it could also have gone the other way, costing us considerably more for the plant, still with similar issues. We can't change the past. I think GR has stepped up after kicking Stark off site and has taken the right steps, in a timely manner, to get the required experts on site to not only remedy the plant issues, but also to assess the extent to which Stark are liable for the accrued losses.
Given the (hopefully temporary) drop in lithium value, the increse in the overall plant costs, and the dilution to shareholders, I think fair value today is in the 0.4p to 0.6p range, which is multiples higher than we are today. I think this is easily justified when you consider the progress made since the EPO was granted, and the shareprice then spiked to 0.4p before there was a mark made in the dirt, more than 3 years ago