RE: Criminal Spread19 Nov 2021 11:25
I would take the following points into consideration with Nanoco.
Their technology has a demonstrated ability to improve the sensitivity of silicon based infra red sensors in the NIR and SWIR bands at very low cost. The alternative is InGaAs, which are very expensive and only really suited to use in high grade military and explorative tools with large budgets- not consumer product friendly.
We know from other information that the market for IR sensors is likely to explode in the next few years with AR, autonomous and semi-autonomous driving systems/aids, health monitoring sensors in smart watches, IoT etc. The sensors will need to be cheap.
There seems at present to be few competitors, Nanosys appear to be remarkably quiet about this area of the technology, which in my opinion calls into question their ability to produce cad free materials at scale of good enough quality. perhaps they're working in stealth mode, but why did Apple come to Nanoco when Nanosys are on their doorstep with a CEO that has a track record with the company?
Next point is the legal action against Samsung. The main risk here is the PTAB ruling. I think there we have the greatest risk, but if we can clear that hurdle without any ambiguity, then Nanoco have Samsung by the short and curlies, the question then will not be if they'll have to pay up, just how much and when.
This is all near to medium term. we'll know in about six months whether Nanoco's patented technology is sound or not. Almost certainly Samsung will appeal against a decision that doesn't go their way, but I believe it will be very much easier for Nanoco to raise funds if required to bridge any possible delay in revenue.