Binary Outcome27 Oct 2021 16:58
Ok so I've just watched LR's interview. More of the same old same old no surprises there. Waffle waffle, faff, metals, countries waffle waffle. Don't really say anything. This guy should definitely be a politician.
Now for the point of my post. I see two possible scenarios here, one is terrifying and the other could be very good.
First scenario they're doing exactly what they've said and are looking to buy another asset somewhere around the globe that has some metal that is or could be in demand. Extremely vague and concerning given that we don't have a PFS for Toral, we don't know if the PFS would be fully funded once an acquisition and general working expenses are taken into account and if it is funded then what do we do with it? On top of all that if we do buy another asset how much is it going to cost to get that to a minable outcome? All utterly preposterous and terrifying if you have a large chunk of cash stuck in this.
The second scenario is that something big is going on that isn't ready but obviously can't be disclosed yet. A sale or JV of Toral through to mining. The more I think about it this is actually starting to make more sense. It's the only option that makes any sense!
Let's look at the evidence for the second scenario. The guy they brought in to do a corporate deal, nothing announced as yet but we haven't heard that he is no longer contracted. Buying another asset, could this be because a jv partner will be acting as operator for Toral so they want to be proving up another asset or because Toral is sold outright? Then we have LR's 'value event' comment. Finally institutions buying into this placing and the large open market buys since the announcement.
I have no idea but the first scenario seems absolutely bonkers to me and makes no sense whatsoever. The second does make sense, as I said it is THE ONLY idea that makes sense. After having had a day to reflect my hunch is that a deal of some sort has been done for Toral, it is only a hunch and maybe I'm grasping at straws but I hope for all our sakes my hunch is right.