UK Manufacturing picks up in Feb19 Feb 2015 14:45
Activity in the manufacturing sector picked up pace in February, and output is expected to grow faster still in the next three months, an industry survey has found.
According to the latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey, total order books climbed to a six-month high, while exports rallied to make up some of the ground they lost towards the end of 2014, though they remain behind the domestic sector.
More than 40% of firms said the volume of output over the past three months rose, while 23% reported a decline, giving a balance of +17%, which brought the pace of growth to levels last seen in mid-2014.
Some 36% of businesses expected output to growth in the coming quarter, while 12% said they predicted a decline over the next three months.
"Our manufacturers have more of a spring in their step this month, regaining some of the momentum lost towards the end of last year," said Rain Newton-Smith, CBI economics director.
"The drop in oil prices is good news for the manufacturing sector in the UK, bringing with it lower operating costs, but North Sea producers are clearly suffering.
"Export orders picked up significantly, to a level not seen for six months, but uncertainty over prospects in the Eurozone will continue to weigh on export demand."
Manufacturers added they expect a modest rise in selling prices over the next three months, although expectations for price inflation remain moderate on the whole.
Output price inflation expectations for the next quarter rose to 8%, their highest since April 2014, with the food and drink sector thought to be the largest contributor to the expected price growth.
"Today's survey also brings tentative signs that manufacturers are regaining some pricing power," said Samuel Tombs, senior UK economist at Capital Economics.
"Indeed, the selling price expectations balance rose from -6 to +8, its highest level since April 2014.
"So for now, there is little sign that deflationary pressures are becoming broad-based or entrenched."