KGI16 Mar 2011 07:21
OUTLOOK
The production forecast for fiscal 2011 has been reduced to 80,000 to 85,000 ounces of gold because of the issues outlined above. Higher grades are expected in the fourth quarter and attaining those higher grades is essential to meeting this forecast.
The Company's expansion activities will continue to take priority, and the available resources will be managed accordingly. The tonnage of ore to be hoisted and mined will be managed to meet these targets, provided higher priority activities are not hindered. The Company will continue to prioritize the work and investment required to meet our goals of attaining five million ounces in total gold reserves and resources and of reaching a profitable production rate of 180,000 to 200,000 ounces of gold per year by November 2011.
The expected completion date of the current expansion project remains November 2011, and that is the first month in the current plan in which production is expected to exceed the 1,200 ton per day threshold. The Company is currently reviewing its plans as part of the 2012 fiscal year budgeting exercise, but that target date still appears feasible with some re-arrangement of activities and schedules. Production is planned to be in the range between 1,200 to 1,400 tons of ore per day after November 2011. Planning and engineering studies related to a potential further production expansion will continue with no decision expected until the latter part of fiscal year 2012.
There are some risks to the expansion project timeline that the Company will attempt to manage, but which are not totally within its control. These include risks related to:
1) late delivery of equipment from suppliers;
2) delays in commissioning equipment due to problems experienced by suppliers or outside installers; and
3) recruiting and retaining skilled labour as activity in the mining industry continues to pick up and competition for skilled, experienced, and qualified workers and staff increases.
These issues may or may not act to extend the expansion project timeline, but they will not affect the ultimate completion of the project. The near term impact of these problems to date has been to reduce production while slowing overall spending and lowering operating costs.