INF16 Oct 2012 08:29
One positive impact of the tough market environment is that price expectations for assets, even high quality digital subscription businesses, have eased. We are well placed, both strategically and financially, to capitalise on this trend through selective bolt-on acquisitions. While these are likely to continue to be relatively small-scale, the pipeline is healthy, as illustrated by the recent successful acquisitions of Primal Pictures and Zephyr Associates.
Events and Training: The Summer period is typically quiet for our Events businesses with few large events scheduled, while delegate sales across smaller conferences are also muted by the holiday period. We have seen no change in this type of seasonality and this year there has also been a particularly high number of events that have moved between quarters, distorting organic growth figures. This includes the Broadband World Forum, Cityscape Global/Saudi Arabia, TOC Middle East and a number of Agra Events. Offsetting some of this effect, we successfully ran our Brazilian biennial show Formobile in July, although the scale of this single show does not fully compensate other movements.
Organic growth across the Events & Training division was -2.6% after nine months. If we adjust for biennials and the other timing differences outlined above, the nine month like-for-like growth rate would have been broadly similar to the H1 organic run rate. With the benefit of a number of key events moving into Q4, we are anticipating positive organic growth across the division through the final quarter of the year.
Within the Events business, small conferences remain tough, particularly in Europe, and we continue to actively manage down volume in areas where demand is limited. By contrast, large events continue to grow healthily, at similar rates to peers and with strong rebookings for 2013. This provides us with confidence that our strategy to cut back on small conferences and redirect our efforts into large-scale events is the right one and we remain very active on this front, both via geo-cloning activity and acquisitions.
Corporate training remains weak, reflecting a broad lack of corporate confidence, particularly in the US, where the Presidential election is further discouraging companies from committing to new projects in the short-term. Earlier this year we successfully disposed of Robbins Gioia, our government training business, reducing our exposure in this area.
The recent strengthening of Sterling against the US Dollar and the Euro is unhelpful to Informa's reported financials reflecting the high proportion of its earnings that are generated overseas: approximately 46% of group sales are in US Dollars or other currencies that are closely aligned with the US Dollar. A one cent movement on the average full year £:$ exchange rate impacts group adjusted operating profit by circa £1.4m and EPS by 0.20p. Our exposure to the Euro is lower.