ANTO29 Aug 2012 08:26
Outlook
Copper and gold have remained relatively stable since the period end, with copper continuing to trade around the 340 cents per pound level, and gold at just over US$1,600 per ounce. The molybdenum price continued to decline in July and August, decreasing from US$13 per pound at 30 June 2012 to just under US$11 per pound in mid-August. While the copper price has declined by more than 10% since the end of April, it has found good support at around the 330 - 340 cents per pound level, indicating relatively robust demand to provide support for the price at levels well above the current industry marginal cost of production. The industry fundamentals remain strong over the medium term, with the supply-side remaining relatively constrained.
The Group's forecast for 2012 full year production remains as approximately 700,000 tonnes of copper, 280,000 ounces of gold and 11,000 tonnes of molybdenum. Esperanza production is expected to be at the lower end of the original forecast range, but this is expected to be offset by production at Los Pelambres and El Tesoro being marginally higher than originally forecast.
The forecast for 2012 full year weighted average pre-credit cash costs also remains unchanged at 165 cents per pound. Average net cash costs are now expected to be approximately 110 cents per pound compared with the original forecast of 105 cents, mainly due to lower gold market prices.