STAN1 Mar 2011 18:28
Wednesday preview: Standard Chartered,Date: Tuesday 01 Mar 2011
LONDON (ShareCast) - With results from HSBC out of the way, it is time for the other London-listed Asia-focused banking giant, Standard Chartered, to take centre stage on Wednesday.
Standard Chartered makes around three-quarters of its profits from Asia, and competition has been hotting up in the region, putting margins under pressure.
At the tail end of 2010 the bank said that it was on course for another record year of profit and income, but it warned that net interest margins have fallen fractionally from levels seen in 2009 due to pressure on asset margins in several products.
Cost growth is expected to exceed income growth as the bank has invested in both its businesses (Consumer Banking and Wholesale Banking), opening new branches, hiring new staff and investing in the brand. Increasing competition for staff and higher compliance and regulatory costs have also been exerting upward pressure, the bank said.
Deutsche Bank has predicted that Standard Chartered’s net interest margin, the gap between the interest rate it charges borrowers and the rate itpays savers, will fall to 3.52% from 3.76% in 2009, as the company fights for business with the likes of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China.
Market expectations are for Standard Chartered to announce a 25% increase in post-tax profit to $4.2bn, reflecting a decline in the value of bad debts. Pre-tax profit is tipped to rise to $6.15bn from $5.15bn in 2009. Bad loan provisions are seen tumbling to less than a billion dollars from $2.1bn the year before.
Broker Charles Stanley predicts earnings per share of $1.97, up from $1.59 in 2009, and a full year dividend of $0.70, up from $0.64.
“We will be looking at the full year results to see whether the recent slower income growth and negative 'jaws' was just a function of slower investment spend in H1 [first half] 2009 or whether it is something more enduring. However, Standard Chartered stated that it has 'excellent momentum' going into 2011 and that cost growth will be a shade below income growth in 2011,” said Charles Stanley banking analyst Nic Clarke