RE: Finally29 Apr 2022 16:36
@DShox - Clarke has stated that any further fund raise will unlikely be under 15 or 16p a share. So whenever we’ve done our fag packet calcs on here, we’ve largely based a £300m(debt) £100m (equity) on those numbers. Or at least, I have.
However, once permit has been approved and this steams ahead into the 20’s & 30’s, the equity raise sp price may be higher.
I’m guessing that by the time we’re in full production, we’ll have just shy of 2bn shares, hopefully 1.5bn and a Mcap of a pound’ish. Orior has us at £1.88 plus but I’m not sure how likely that’ll be. I can see how it could happen; EBITDA to US$509m supporting a valuation of 170p/share at 8x EV/EBITDA if the incremental capex is funded out of operating cashflow. (Courtesy of Twitter). However, what needs to remembered through all of this is that £1.70 a share would make me a millionaire, and I’m the unluckiest chuff you could ever not wish to meet.
All guesses of course and all only my uneducated opinion.