RE: Who's not looking forward14 Sep 2025 12:48
KEFI's proposed Tulu Kapi financing structure shows that none of the sophisticated financing partners are seeking returns tied to KEFI's share price performance. The debt providers are offering fixed-rate facilities, while preference shareholders have structured returns linked to gold prices rather than equity appreciation. Similarly, streaming partners have arranged physical gold delivery arrangements, and Ethiopian government partners have structured their participation through direct project ownership rather than KEFI equity exposure. This arrangement raises questions about the risk-return profile for KEFI shareholders, who would remain exposed to operational and political risks while other stakeholders secure returns more directly tied to the underlying asset performance. When all sophisticated parties in a financing arrangement avoid exposure to the company's share price, it may signal concerns about potential discounts between market valuation and underlying asset value. However, KEFI maintains that the structure provides the necessary capital to develop what it describes as an economically viable gold project, with final terms scheduled for completion in September 2025. To be seen.