RE: Dividend8 Oct 2020 16:40
NAV is a key yardstick to value a fund whereas Tesco are business and mainly valued based on multiples of EPS. As Tesco estimated, we will lose 25% or so of our shares due to consolidation based on share price of 213p. However, they also reported that EPS could be 16% less than last year excluding the discontinued business (Adjusted diluted EPS of 7.56p vs LY: 9.01p). Therefore, it is not unreasonable to anticipate that share price would be adjusted in line with the industry PE multiple, i.e. SP goes up circa 9% post consolidation. Market traditionally valued Tesco at a multiple of 12-16 PE and the average PE of supermarkets excluding Ocado is currently about 10.5. Anyhow, market is unpredictable and sp could any direction.
Bear in mind, in the current zero percent interest environment, pension funds and fixed income funds need a reliable dividend paying company. FTSE is cheap and has not recovered from pandemic like other markets. So either they buy Tesco shares or might consider owning the whole cow. The biggest liability is pension and will be gone after the Asia sale, which makes Tesco an appealing cash cow.
All IMHO, do your own research.