This has the feel of GGP...18 May 2023 08:18
The strategy of sitting on ones hands waiting for news, whilst difficult, can be very rewarding. After a tip from a poster many moons ago I invested £55k in GGP ( Greatland Gold ). It was sp 0.5p and I accrued 11m shares. The tip was because there was an NDA with Newmont, a major USA Gold mining company and they had first refusal to a Farm - In, Joint Venture, takeover etc. It was very exciting and GGP came out with good exploratory gold grades and the sp went to 1.3p on the news of the expected first refusal deal coming and 'no brainer' was used.
Newmont walked away and the sp crashed in to the floor ( -74% drop ). My investment went to almost single figures and it was depressing, the vast majority sold out at a huge loss and the usual bb snipers had a fun time mocking the working class investor who was simply trying to make a tough living a little bit easier, but that is life.
I didn't cash in, not a penny. Why? because I believed in the company, I believed in the gold grades which firstly once found could not be unfound, secondly, they were too good to leave alone forever. My belief was someone, someday, would see the grades and come to the table, GGP being an exploration company not a miner.
3 years later the sp climbed slowly back to my buy in price and a tad more, but I made nothing for 3 years on an investment & whilst £55k is not earth shattering it was most of my personal savings.
It was brutal and tough not knowing if my genuine held belief in the company would be a correct call. After nearly 4 years from my original investment GGP announced a deal with Newcrest, not the largest Gold Mining Company Globally but the largest in Australia. It was for a $65m 4 stage investment to pay for all the mining costs, everything, but GGP had to give 'away' 70% of the gold in the ground.
Some investors were narked that they thought they had given away far too much for something which was potentially worth many $billions.
I took a different view that GGP were pennyless and no matter how much gold they had found they had no money to get it out not even a single ounce. The mining facilities alone to process from digging to smelting is approx $8bn, just to put it in to perspective. The going rate to sell in the ground was just $50 an ounce, with retail value being circa $2,000 an ounce so for me to retain 30% of every ounce of gold mined was huge, you just had to look at the whole picture.
The sp did NOT move on the news of the planned JV. It stayed where it was for another 18mths!
I stayed put, sitting on my hands, for what seemed like an eternity. One day I woke up and the first tranche of money from Newcrest hit the coffers of GGP 's bank account. The sp went from sub 1p to 38 pence in a matter of days, possibly a week or two but it was extremely fast. My investment of £55k was suddenly showing at £4m +, many small investors made a lot more! My point? My gut feels exactly the same with QBT, we have had a long wait but 'deals' are not long