RE: Greenwood have a 64p target just for Pepas4 Sep 2025 19:21
Crazy the upside when you consider the tiny capex for such a cash cow and Greenwood suggest PAYBACK WITHIN A YEAR! .Here's some more from their note:
"average annual gold production of c.29koz and total production over a 13-year LOM of just under 350koz. In reality, the LOM could be shorter and production level higher, but we base our model on 250ktpa ROM ore mining rate, readily achievable from a mining point of view and also for any required crushing capacity and well within the scope of throughput for mobile crushers even. Our model simplistically assumes a 4g/t Au head grade is achieved and 90% metallurgical recovery. We estimate US$15m capex (including US$1m for royalty buyback) which includes all pre-production site works including road access and infrastructure to support mining and pre-concentration equipment. This is likely an overestimate as not much plant is required beyond a small crusher which could even be of the mobile variety. Our production scenario assumes mining and some form of comminution/pre-concentration at site and then trucking of ore to a 3rd party mill for further processing and refining"
"At spot US$3,487/oz, the NPV increases to US$245m and IRR 192%. In any scenario, the low capex and highgrade translates to a rapid payback operation within the first year"
Honestly, the valuation here is nuts when again you consider the three other gold assets too.