Interesting takes9 May 2023 08:48
Some curious takes on here this morning. The main thing we learned today was that the investor will have control over the company (enough to pass an ordinary resolution, although not enough to pass a special resolution, which would be of greater concern). We also learned that the investor specifically wants control, hence the provisions allowing it to maintain its percentage interest by further investment in the event of a placing or warrant exercise. What follows from this?
1. The idea that in the absence of a lock-up the investor will be drip-feeding shares into the market and suppressing the price is, with all due respect, absolutely crackers. The investor is not going to sell its shareholding down below 50%. Also, selling that amount of shares in the market is not realistic.
2. On the basis of the RNS, it would appear that FKC is wrong to say that the investor is free to pull out of stage 2. As I read it, both stages are binding subject to the conditions which are stated, all of which relate to things that people other than the investor may do (regulatory and shareholder approvals, essentially). There is no suggestion that there is a general discretion to pull out.
3. I would suggest that existing shareholders need to consider how they feel about investing in a company over which one shareholder has (ordinary resolution) control. You may think "now us small shareholders will have no control". Or, you may think we never had any control anyway, and that the real practical effect of this transaction is to shift control from Ben Turney to Purebond. I am of the latter view. In fact, I believe the balance of power will significantly improve. At the moment, whatever Ben wants happens. In the future, whatever Purebond and Ben together want will happen - a bit more of a check and balance.
4. Ben Turney is now sackable. As I have made clear, I quite like him. However, a lot of you have complained about him ad nauseum. Realistically, as FKC has recently illustrated by demonstrating to us the difficulty of cobbling together even 10% of the shares in issue, the shareholders would never have been able to remove him. Purebond absolutely will be able to (if they want to).
I am still unconvinced by this deal in terms of amount, timing, dilution etc. However, I cannot for the life of me understand how the haters of the current management can be against it. It will greatly temper the power and job security of the current board whom you hate so much.