Malcy blog5 Oct 2023 13:10
Https://www.malcysblog.com/2023/10/oil-price-dec-predator-and-finally/
“This is interesting timing, yesterday I had noticed a number of inbound messages regarding DEC and all asking if I knew any reason for the fall in the share price. I answered all of them to the tune of that I not only didn’t understand it but that in every metric I think that the company is in very good shape.
There have been questions about the recent departure of the CFO but they are really nothing, this is just the evolution of a company growing like DEC is and it was an amicable parting. Also the recent announcement of the increase in the borrowing base was nothing to worry about, indeed showed that the company is in good financial order.
As for production the company have updated the current numbers with a range of 134 Mboepd-138 Mboepd which is ex the 3 Mboepd following the sale of non-operated assets recently. Finally the company has said that it is no longer planning a US listing which whilst small beer does take away any feint worries of a raise over there.
So where does that leave us, and I can’t really add to the comments I have been making in the last 24 hours on social media in that nothing has changed, DEC is run by an exceptionally good management team, the model they work from is immaculate and without exploration risk. They also have excellent control over costs and are amongst the best operators in the hedging market.
The company is trading well, operationally and financially sound and has an excellent distribution policy for shareholders. This includes a progressive dividend payment and gives the company a yield of around 20%, in anybodies book that has to be of significant worth and of course don’t forget the buy-back programme which adds value through increased NAV and lesser dividend payments. My Target Price of 175p doesn’t change and with income and capital growth on offer makes DEC a must have investment in the market. This is interesting timing, yesterday I had noticed a number of inbound messages regarding DEC and all asking if I knew any reason for the fall in the share price. I answered all of them to the tune of that I not only didn’t understand it but that in every metric I think that the company is in very good shape.
There have been questions about the recent departure of the CFO but they are really nothing, this is just the evolution of a company growing like DEC is and it was an amicable parting. Also the recent announcement of the increase in the borrowing base was nothing to worry about, indeed showed that the company is in good financial order.
As for production the company have updated the current numbers with a range of 134 Mboepd-138 Mboepd which is ex the 3 Mboepd following the sale of non-operated assets recently. Finally the company has said that it is no longer planning a US listing which whilst small beer does take away any feint worries of a raise over there.
So where does that leave us, and