Bloomberg article2 May 2018 06:43
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-02/chilly-britain-absorbing-more-gas-that-would-have-gone-to-europe ....................................................................................................................................
Britain's Keeping More Natural Gas Because It's So Cold
By Anna Shiryaevskaya
2 May 2018, 05:00 GMT+1
U.K. gas trading at premium to Dutch gas, discouraging exports
Continental Europe relying more on gas from Norway, Russia
Britain is so cold it’s keeping more of the natural gas it produces and imports for itself.
Over the past month, U.K. gas exports have repeatedly plumbed the lowest levels in at least a decade for this time of the year. Usually, with winter past and heating demand subsiding, Britain would have ample supplies to ship to the continent.
Instead, cooler weather and outages at fields in the North Sea are supporting prices in Britain relative to rates on the continent. That’s made shipping the fuel abroad unattractive for now. ...........................
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EsFvuEU-x_iZhIA2ZMDzTimZcyoYXFHT/view?usp=drivesdk ...............................................................................
The trend is visible by looking at pipeline flows from the Interconnector link with Belgium, charted in the graph above. With less fuel coming from Britain and storage sites depleted from the winter, continental Europe is increasingly reliant on flows from Russia and Norway. The region is also drawing in more tankers full of liquefied natural gas.
A cold snap across the U.K. prompted homeowners to switch heating systems back on in the past week. That boosted consumption at a time when traders are usually starting to refill storage sites -- one of the main outlets for supply during the summer months. Gas prices are firm even though Britain’s biggest energy supplier, Centrica Plc, is closing its Rough gas storage site.
“The U.K. market has been quite tight, largely due to a cold end to winter that still seems to be hanging on a bit,” said Trevor Sikorski, head of gas, coal and carbon research at Energy Aspects Ltd. “As we get fully out of the heating season, we would expect the NBP to more consistently trade at a discount to the TTF. This should lead to an increase in those flows to the continent.”
What may also bear down on exports is the planned maintenance at the Interconnector pipeline in June and outages in the U.K. continental shelf and in Norway -- the main sources of supply for the nation.
These outages “suggest a bit less gas around, so the U.K. needs to price to get its share of what Norwegian gas is coming to market,” Sikorski said. “When demand fades, spreads should encourage greater exports.”