Copper prices (and silver and gold...)10 Nov 2022 16:20
https://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2022-11-09/Silver-joining-copper-in-upcoming-supply-crunch.html
"Goldman Sachs is forecasting the LME copper price to more than double from its current level, to $15,000 a ton in 2025. Let's step back here and remember the incentive price to make mining copper attractive is US$9,000 a ton — copper is trading currently at ~$7,000/t.
Copper will have to rise from its current price of US$3.63 to a minimum $4.50/lb to incentivize miners to build mines.
I'll leave you with this. According to Adamas Intelligence's State of Charge report, EV registrations rose by 42% in the first half of 2022, compared to the same period last year. This amounts to 6.23 million units, up from 4.4 million in H1, 2021. For round numbers, let's just say that electrification is growing at 2 million units a year. How much copper and silver will be needed for that level of demand? And remember, the mining industry still needs to mine enough silver and copper for all the other industrial, and in silver's case, monetary uses.
The soaring demand for both, matched against each's coming supply crunch, all but guarantees that prices are moving higher."