My figures from the Update24 Jan 2019 16:07
MRS Full Year Guidance 30 June 2019 - On 17 January 2019
Net Profit before Tax is expected to be in the range of AUD$8.0m - AUD9.0m (FY18: AUD$6.0m), which will generate an EPS of approximately 4.5c - 5.1c per share (converting to 2.6p / 3.0p per share at an AUD/GBP exchange rate of 1.7).
My assessment of those figures
First and foremost I said it before, how the management can give an update with a strait figures, well 6 month before the Year end.
Second the exchange rate used is AUD1.70, when for the last Year has been trading AUD1.75/1.85 and currently AUD1.83. So I will used AUD1.80. The lower rate used by the management inflates the figures.
Third the company has been paying tax at a rate of 10%, normally in Australia is 30%. The company on the calculation of EPS uses no tax charge and the same no. of shares as last Year 178,681,952, when everywhere is saying 197M shares.
My calculations
Net Profit before Tax AUD$8.0m - AUD9.0m
After 10% tax rate = AUD7.2m - AUD8.1m : AUD1.80 exchange rate= £4m - 4.5m
Profits after tax £4m - 4.5m : 178,68m shares = EPS 2.23p - 2.52p
If used 197m share = EPS 2.03p - 2.28p
If tax was at 13% =AUD6.96m - AUD7.83m : AUD1.80 exchange rate= £3.86m - 4.35m
Profits after tax £3.86m - 4.35m : 178.68 shares = EPS 2.16p - 2.43p
If used 197m share = EPS 1.96p - 2.21p
If tax was at 20% = AUD6.4m - AUD7.2m : AUD1.80 exchange rate= £3.55m - 4m
Profits after tax £3.55m - 4m : 178,68m shares = EPS 1.96p - 2.24p
If used 197m share = EPS 1.80p - 2.03p
Conclusion using AUD1.80 exchange rate, 13% tax charge and 197m shares overage for 2019
My expectations:
Profits after tax of £3.86m - 4.35m
EPS 1.96p - 2.21p = overage of 2.085p
Shares are trading on a PE of 2.4 with share price @ 5p. Well undervalued on this low rating, but market considers the DEBT A$ 20,547M to be a concern as is double the market cap, the company is on high growth just now but the sector is not a high rating one.