A Better Approach...7 Nov 2018 00:02
On the other hand, a cheaper well in a new area which is conventionally located, such as onshore South America, might be better treated as an element of manufacturing than a roll of the dice. While obviously success rates are lower than in shale areas, nonetheless if the geology has been studied than the explorer should recognize that it is rarely a matter of if oil will be found, but when.
At the company level, Bijan Mossavar-Rahmani, an international oil and gas executive, once explained to me that most companies try to minimize risk and financial outlays by signing exploration contracts for new areas that commit them to as little work as possible, with the intention to continue drilling only if a discovery is made. Otherwise, they drop the sometimes very prospective and effectively untested acreage and go elsewhere. But his strategy was to recognize that an oil province will likely yield discoveries given enough time and effort. So the strategy was to continue to explore beyond the initial commitment until, hopefully, the code was cracked.
https://www.rigzone.com/news/a_better_approach_to_conventional_oil_exploration-31-oct-2018-157354-article/