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Headline in today's Examiner (Cork)

Election will be called by the end of the week – Taoiseach

The Fine Gael leader was speaking on his way into Cabinet on Tuesday morning and ahead of the Dáil’s return after the October midterm

Sinn Fein ran 43 candidates last time and got 37 elected. They say they will run about 70 this time and hope to get a majority with two seats in some constituencies.

However, they are not half as popular as they were in 2020 but at least, with that number running it looks like the Greens are for the birds. Probably three seats at the most.

I suggest Fine Gael and Fine Fail will have enough seats between them to form the next government.

Sinn Fein made the mistake the last time of not running two candidates in most constituencies. They might not make that mistake this time but they are now far from as poplar as they were in 2020 and could come in a miserable third whereas last time they were technically the largest.

Headline in today's Irish Times:

"The most pessimistic in Leinster House believe the Greens could see just two or three TDs in the next Dáil, all in Dublin".

Serve then right if it happens after they elected a nerd, Ryan, to be their leader last time.

Might see a new approach to Barryroe.

https://www.irishtimes.com/business/2024/10/16/lobby-group-calls-for-dedicated-energy-minister/

Latest news on election

Tánaiste Micheál Martin expects election date to be agreed next week as Roderic O’Gorman wants country to go to polls on November 29

That makes two out of three so that looks like a done deal.

Green Party leader wants election on 29th November.

https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/green-party-wants-general-election-on-november-29-says-roderic-ogorman/a1848391959.html

He thinks they will get more TDs than the current 12. Obviously lives in cloud cuckoo land.

Speculation that election date to be decided this week. Quote:

"It is now widely expected that this Dáil will come to an end if not this week then the following one, with 15 November the most likely date for the electorate to have their say."

Here's hoping, with Ryan then for the birds.

Https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/what-is-the-lng-row-all-about-and-why-is-mark-ruffalo-in-the-thick-of-it/a113941535.html

Who the f. is Mark Ruffalo and what has he got to do with Ireland?

Further, to clarify the Farmer's party commitment to oil and gas as well as other energy sources check the following:

https://farmersalliance.ie/energy-security/

If they can muster all the Independent TDs they could become a formidable force.

Today's Irish papers says Fine Gael TDs told to get their orders in for election posters.

Rumour says election in November given that must be held before March 2025 and February not a good month for an election.

New government, less Ryan and possibly new Farmers Ireland party https://farmersalliance.ie/ who have vowed to contest the next election.

Rumour says they are in favour of Barryroe so it is possible, if they get a big enough say in the next government that they will be looking to resurrect it.

And, by the way, Larry Goodman has now passed most of his power over to his son so I am not sure what day to day input Larry has but you can be sure, if he can stuff the government he would as they haven't been too nice to him in the past aka "The beef tribunal". Note:

"The Beef Tribunal concluded that tax evasion occurred at Goodman International[3] and shone a light on widespread improper relationships between the beef industry, particularly Goodman, and the government. However, no criminal charges were brought, aside from the journalist Susan O'Keefe who was charged and acquitted for not revealing sources."

Surely Larry Goodman only invested €6m into Barryroe to the best of my knowledge.

Can you tell me where it says he invested €40m. I don't remember that figure.

Ryan is gone but like the ghost of Banquo he still hovers in the background. We need that new election to get rid of it for good and no riddance.

I wonder if Ryan knew this was on the cards and is the reason why he ran for cover by resigning.

It is too coincidental that we have this news today so soon after his resignation. I would now expect to see him also hand in his Minister for Energy, et al. very soon.

The point is that Moneypoint is still importing millions of tons of coal. It operates largely on coal, making it both unique in the context of Irish electricity production and the country's single largest emitter of greenhouse gases.

Quote:

Natural gas meets over 30% of Ireland’s energy needs, heating and powering 700,000 homes and businesses and generating over 50% of the electricity Ireland uses. Following the depletion of the Corrib gas field, Ireland is expected to be dependent on over 80% imports by the mid-2020s and over 90% by 2030.

And if Data Centres proliferate at the rate the Government would like due to the benefits they bring and now they all want to use AI which current statistics says adds 25% electricity load how long before the balloon bursts?

No wonder, Ryan and his Greens, who caused most of this inflation is now running for cover and will get decimated in the next general election but unfortunately he has decided he is not running in my opinion just to save face.

I thought Larry Goodman paid €6.3m to buy Barryroe.

Not only that, but Larry handed over 30 companies last year to his son so I presume he is now in the running seat.

I suspect Ryan resigned because there is a big push in Ireland for oil and gas which will be needed for years whatever Ryan thinks or says. For example, Data centres, Ireland's new life blood, is expecting an energy requirement of plus 25% with the activity of AI. That needs electricity which needs gas or oil as wind is too unpredictable and wave is not enough.

So, either there is now a push to develop Barryroe and either Corrib or Europa to develop off the coast to find more gas which otherwise will run out in 2029 and Ryan has not got the stomach to face that either now or in the election so he has jumped ship now like the vermin of old.

Since he claims he is resigning due to work stress and the need to give attention to his handicapped son he cannot surely stay on as minister since that must be what has caused him the stress that has caused him to resign.

We will find out pretty sure, no doubt.

We hope this is true with confirmation today.

https://www.irishtimes.com/politics/2024/06/18/eamon-ryan-to-step-down-as-green-party-leader/

Pity it was not over a year ago given the trouble he has caused in the meantime.

Great news.

Ryan resigns as leader of the Greens. Pity it was not years ago.

https://www.irishtimes.com/politics/2024/06/18/eamon-ryan-to-step-down-as-green-party-leader/

We wait with delight for its confirmation.

At present, the Independent Party has 3 members in the Dail. If the other 18 "Independents" joined them they would be a force to reckon with but as long as those others want to be "Independent" they are a waste of time. They would have been better calling themselves the "Farmer Party" and then more would have joined.

But as long as the Independent Party ends up with more seats than the Greens it will be curtains for the Greens in government and that is what we want to get rid of Ryan out of government.

If SF runs two candidates in each constituency they will probably form the largest party. The mistake the last time was to run only one in each constituency and then won most of them seats with good majorities which would have increased the chances of second candidates winning.

If that happens, you can expect FF, FG and SF to hold enough seats in any combination to form the next government and anything that ER does will be irrelevant as he will have no place at the table as he does now with his Green party veto vote as any disagreement he has currently with the other two will bring down the government.

Roll on an early election.