RE: Rosgeo JV block modelling and open pit optimisations etc23 Aug 2022 16:36
Come November news will flow regardless mizman. The way to take things at the minute is interim by end of Sept, that's something that has to drop and gives us all something to look at. MT DFS in November.
Dropping JORC news with NPV attached won't change the SP to the desired effect in this conflict situation, we know this from already having the NKT underground portion for $1.2b, there is zero value attached to that currently to our MCAP and hence why we're lingering where we are. Imo, it has clearly been advised to drop all they have when they announce the sale details, when the sale details land they have to move the SP to reflect that, they have absolutely no other option at that point, if MT is going for X amount they have to move the MCAP to reflect X amount.
Things like approx timeframes per Rosgeo Jv asset to have block modelling and open pit optimisation done can be figured out from info in RNS to date, it works out to be approx 3 month per JV asset. The current expenditure rate of the raised $35 the same, £22m in dec 21 down to £14.2m in May 22 gives you a monthly expenditure figure to play with simply from the spending of it.
Ask yourself one thing right now, do China care what the West say at this point? Answer: No they don't, they even feel like they're being provoked over Taiwan.
Due to the answer above, ask yourself 'does anything the West say stop a chinese entity from buying Eurasia's Monchegorsk assets, especially a state ran entity?' Answer: No it does not. In fact, China would simply buy them to stop the West securing that supply line of resources at this stage.
Me, i just hope the conflict ends soon and the World can get back to some form of normality, that's if it has ever been normal, realistically it hasn't tbh!
GLA