Member Info for LumpedOn

plenty available under £9 now fella

Hi Herb, in response to your comment here about shorting 'twas I who was advocating this, but not in the truest sense.

Unlike these chaps busy day-trading here in actual tranches of shares, I use a spreadbetting account to complement my investment portfolio for day-trading, but also use it to "sell" certain stocks that I believe are toppy in price. These are often stocks I hold long-term so I am effectively using spreadbetting to hedge my portfolio.

Just had a squint and indeed you could short Man United on the platform I use (which is IG) - sell at 1855 and buy at 1864.

Hope that clarifies.

IG now calling open up 0.7%. Have a good feeling about positive movement today, especially as Chris Evans is playing the Sex Pistols on his breakfast show - a punk start to the day can't be a bad sign.

Folks - nothing is lost until you choose to sell. Paper losses and paper gains are just that .......

this was only 1 % of the shares, not enough to make such a massive swing down to the other 99% in IMOH.
I guess there will be a short duration drop but trading to resume in the £13-14 range.
Until solid news from NMC this will continue to roller-coast - so sit back and enjoy the ride.
....and just to be clear, I have shares I bought at £17.67 and still expect a profit on those before Easter.

1 pip down for me.

IG currently calling FTSE .55% up tomorrow so hope to see a lift, but some time to go before 8am yet.

Will start a second position if it gets momentum past 20 pips.

Such fun...

Some interesting comments guys & girls - still for me you have to think this is fishy. Yet again some Middle East loans being backed off by shares which then get shipped via acclerated bookbuilds - can't determine who where how or why, but it stinks IMOH. Can't say this is regular practice for a FTSE100 listing.
Still, just makes it more fun to ride up & down eh ?

another 1% of the shares to be dumped via bookbuild - and again to repay loans. In truth not sure what to make of this - key will be the price that they agree in the bookbuild process, and who the buyer(s) is/are.

I don't short in the true sense, only via spreadbetting platform "Sell" button - and often only on shares I actually own for the long term just to capitalise on significant price swings along the journey - so on Avon for example I am invested since 2017 but thought (and still think) the dizzy heights currently achieved in the market will ease in the short term. So I play it both ways, using SB platform to try and generate "spending money" I am now open long in OCDO at 1297.2 - hope to make a few quid over the next day or two but we'll see eh ?

" If you want safe buy premium bonds"
I have the max allowable of these and did 3% last calendar year - but they're nowhere near the fun of chasing stocks !
The only "rush" is opening the app on 3rd of the month to get the news - then it's dead as a dead thing.
The high highs, but low lows, make the shares world somewhat addictive especially if you have an inner gambler leading you on....

Guys - apologies for butting in on your conversation uninvited but am interested to know why you appear to be buying / selling shares via an online platform rather than spreadbetting this one ?
Am about to include this one in my spreadbetting daily money chase and have found your chats very informative. Hope to replicate some of your successes - and to offset my rather mis-timed short on AVON from £22.50 !

Got to smile at Greggs and the Vegan Roll being at the heart of the discussion in PM's questions yesterday - just a pity that it has negative connotations for some of the Greggs team, i.e. those on universla credit.

But hey, in marketing terms any product placement that raises brand awareness is a good thing.....

Quote from Jezza (full article on BBC / via Google) :
Speaking at Prime Minister's Questions, Mr Corbyn asked Mr Johnson if it was "just and fair" that workers earning just over £12,500 year were not allowed to keep their bonuses.

"If the prime minister can answer that question... I'll buy him a vegan roll from Greggs myself," he added.

It is an uncrossing trade, not a buy. Seems to be a common misunderstanding on numerous boards here.
Google it and you'll get the definition.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2020/01/20/fevertree-sales-lose-fizz-christmas-period/

Extracts below re: analyst comments - anyone have any links to latest (free!) broker notes / research on this one ?

James Edwardes Jones, an analyst at RBC, said: "The UK business is normalising faster than expected and we do not have confidence that the US can accelerate fast enough to offset this."

Analysts at Jefferies said: "The debate on whether 'big soda' may look to add Fever-Tree to strengthen the portfolio offering within the premium mixers sub-category may start to resurface."

They added: "Any potential acquisition needs to be considered within the context of expanding sales of [Fever-Tree] internationally. The debate around a take-out may start to resurface but visibility on US growth outlook needs to improve first."

Agree - it has been a very high price to pay for probably topped-out growth in UK for a while - but at early 2017 prices it seems worth a punt so have bought a small position at £15.64. WIll be interested to read commentary later today / this week once analysts & journos have chewed it over.

open again

currently in auction

This was hinted at in the update 8th Jan, and I'm sure I had seen something in the press speculating about it too.
Not sure how this necessarily adds profitability, but the ability to get more stuff off the shelves can only be a good thing and help mitigate those tricky "cost headwinds" reported in the outlook.
March 3rd is the next comms date, unless there's any special SP affecting news in the meantime. I remain hopeful for a bit more from this one yet, but it is starting to look highly priced and vulnerable to a big pull back if anything less than stellar is reported.

Not enough sparkle in the RNS to ignite lots of new buyers at the open, but hopefully this update shows a clearer direction for the company and we start to get a steady growth - up to £1 would do me nicely.
Check out Paul Scott's commentary on Stockopedia later today - he is a great analyst who loves this stock.

Fingers crossed for some bumper footfall and sales news tomorrow morning....
Should be good news in my view, then we need some buyers to get the SP up and running,