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The renewal date for the DAGG loan once again draws close.
What happens if the lender decides to play hardball ?
Debt for equity on usurious terms would be one avenue.
With the two buys this morning being filled at sub 1.00p there seems only limited optimism for Minoan's future prospects.
Hi swanny27.
The answer to your question, I believe, lies in the decade old vendetta being waged by Tom Winnifrith/************* against TERN.
Whilst I regard the history behind the acrimony as beyond historical . TW even now just cannot leave his bitterness behind
My theory is that TW and associates acquire many million of TERN shares, probably via the placings, with a view to launching these onto the market on the occasions when market sentiment is already fragile, thus exacerbating any SP weakness.
For a multiplicity of reasons , TERN has occupied a notable channel of decline for several months now.
Although I admit to being an unshakable optimist ; it is my view that this trend is about to be reversed and that any upturn will gather notable momentum in the short and medium term.
(Hope so !)
It is all about timing, swanny27.
The millions that materialised for sale at a touch above 7p were designated (and timed) to drive the SP even lower with the residual placing shares there as back up.
When it became very evident that this strategy had failed, the bottom was pencilled in and TERN shares took on the look of being an upward one way bet.
So, with the bottom in and with investee prospects ever brighter , the potential buyers saw today, and probably the weeks lying ahead, as an ideal time to return.
As long as our BoD can achieve a significant cash generating corporate manoeuvre over the next six months then our investment here could well flourish, for at the current derisory 7.5p, the market cap languishes way below its potential target area.
Looking at the trading through Friday, MMs were offering TERN shares at above the 7.287p price marked for this late reported transaction, whilst any selling was accommodated at lesser figures.
Almost certainly then a chunky sell; thus enabling the MMs to balance their positions for the weekend.
There is certainly a "tap" still on hand serving to flatten the TERN share price; one which I am looking forward to seeing turned off (soon).
It is bemusing why any holder parts with their shares when the SP is so distressed; particularly when past experiences indicate that a worthwhile recovery in their value will shortly come into view.
Buy !
Whilst I buy as many as my modest pocket can afford, Swanny27; it is not the limited firepower of we PIs buying that will ever permanently move the TERN share price to a higher plane.
For this to occur we will require either TERN to release news of notably positive corporate developments OR stake building by a potential predator or deep pocketed opportunist.
In the meantime, past experience suggests that the SP will recover by 25% or so by the end of November if not before.
It strikes me as illogical, shrewed_mole, that having claimed to purchase 250,000 shares in TERN only last Monday, you then within days call our CEO, Al Sisto, "a criminal and liar".
Will you take the opportunity to repeat that libel to his face at the AGM,I wonder.
Yes, we would all like to see an early exit; yet as in all things, timing is everything.
The Bod will of course have to balance investor impatience against the need to convey to them, at a more opportune moment , a true value creating and delivering announcement, whatever form that might take.
I bought another 200k @ 7.711p earlier this week.
Patience, I believe, will deliver a fair reward in due course.
Hi Swanny27
As a LTH in TERN, I have endured the aftermath of several placings.
The trading pattern after each one follows a very similar trend, with the price seemingly entrenched at sub placing prices no matter how significant the buying.
This depression of the SP takes around 4-6 weeks to lift and we are just entering week 3.
A hint of good news would transform sentiment, particularly when the share price is on its knees.
Well done with your stake building !
No that is a coincidence, being quoted 88.8p to sell.
Take it !
Fortunately, MrBB, the destiny of the TERN share price is neither driven by positive rhetoric nor is it likely to remain "festering" at its current sub 7.5p level.
There are several factors which have contrived to decimate the TERN SP and the negative market conditions experienced recently is just one of them.
TERN is undoubtedly in a "special situation" ; one where your corporate event , in one shape or other, looks more than likely to come into view in the short term.
In the circumstances, I am happy to increase my significant holding, fully confident that this action will prove rewarding.
Swanny27
Any or all of your purchases at sub 7.5p should soon yield a profit.
As improving sentiment, allied hopefully to the emergence of further news on strong progress from Device Authority and accompanied by the clearance of the the rapidly diminishing placing overhang, sees the TERN price rise above say 10p, my natural inclination would be to run the shares in the expectation of further incremental share price improvements.
A profit is a profit, but one of 50% or above would be much sweeter.
Good luck with your investments in TERN.
Good to see some of Swanny's more recent trades already heading for profitability.
How can one not be optimistic when adding at these levels; knowing that Device Authority in particular, among TERN's investees, looks poised to leap across that chasm to its goal of serious and exponentially growing levels of recurring revenues.
Going up !
(soon)
"However this does now look like a decent trading position"
Swanny27 is correct with this assertion, for the best % increases in the TERN share price have consistently occurred around 4-8 weeks subsequent to a placing.
At the current 7.5p, I would regard any current purchase as a sound investment rather than a trading opportunity, although the two strategies naturally go hand in hand.
I am intending to invest further funds into TERN over that 4-8 week period whilst the share price in all likelihood remains becalmed.
Having viewed the CMD webinar again, I am not currently over eager to call out Al Sisto.
He does enjoy the full support of the TERN BoD and of the management of TERN's various investee companies.
Calling for an EGM has the potential to damage our well structured company along with the an unsettling of the already weak share price.
Some type of corporate action designed to provide sufficient funds to allay the omnipresent fear of a placing and to provide an ample financial runway for the next couple of years would most probably result in at the very least a doubling of the current SP.