RE: Bid_offer22 Mar 2026 06:48
FFX, seems that DJTrump will give you a chance to buy NFX lower, in 1-2 days, when his 48hrs ultimatum expires. No WW3 will happen IMO (midterms in November), just a lot more destruction over the next 2-3 weeks in the Gulf; DJT is desperate for an off-ramp and the Iranians know this; so he will lash out.
I'd agree with you if this war went on for months but it can't, for many reasons (mostly political); If eg Iran blows up Gulf desalination plants, 90mln will have no drinking water so everyone is pushing DJT to end this, one way or another.
So, if this ends in 2-3 weeks, your analysis of Big Pharma pulling out of discussions with NFX will not hold; remember, both ODD and Placing (and request for add. studies) came 1 week into this war. Big Pharma plans many years ahead, yes there are ups and downs, but business must go on. Had NFX been based in the Gulf, yes, that would be a worry; not everything is rosy of course, partners may use the war as an excuse to offer a lower Royalty fee etc. GLA, DYOR