RNS Thoughts - Positives & Negatives - Strong Buy30 Jun 2021 11:12
The 2020 Financial Results were never expected to be good. The company had huge difficulties on many fronts. To come out of the other side of that having significantly increased production, made big progress on variety of fronts, and only a $14.9m EBITDA loss is actually very impressive.
There have been some post-period (as in 2021 YTD) developments that are clearly very positive. A huge one being that construction of the Electrolyte Production Plant has now begun - this is hugely exciting!
However the main one they should've been shouting from the rooftops is that Vanadium commodity prices have massively massively increased since the 2020 year came to an end.
Consequently, if you strip out the one-off / exception costs for boosting production at Vametco & Vanchem, PROFITABILITY HAS ALREADY RETURNED. Why was that point not made more clearly ??
On the other hand, here's the negatives:
- Reducing guidance twice in quick succession is not good for attracting IIs. Especially when the reasoning for this is due to "delays in securing steel supplies" in order to finish off the Vanchem Kiln 3 work.
- The story and vision has not been articulated in a clear way to help attract prospective investors. A headline re profitability (excluding one-off costs) returning could've really helped with this.
- No attempt to show that we're truly a Green Stock as well as a Mining Stock.
- Nothing said re the Mokopane DFS due this year.
- Nothing said about our HUGE Iron Ore assets, even though Iron Ore commodity prices mean this is actually really valuable in itself.
- Nothing said about Lemur once again. When are they going to sell this off ? (I know some disagree on my views on this but I consider it a deadweight putting off Green IIs which should be cut off asap)
- The JSE Listing is mentioned but in such a way that makes it sound like it won't be any time soon.
- The Electrolyte Production Plant Construction could and should have had its own RNS which would've helped boost the share price. Instead the company merely posted a tweet and added one small line to this jumbo RNS where most people could easily miss it entirely, or fail to see the significance of it.
Needless to say, despite these negatives I've listed out (almost all of which are communications issues only), this continues to be the most undervalued share on the whole stock market, and - with Vanadium prices double what they were a year ago, and V production about to massively increase over the next year - this will become incredibly profitable from next year onwards. By which point the investment case will be so damn obvious not even poor comms will stop this rocketing to All Time Highs.
Therefore this continues to be a hugely exciting company, and share price today continues to be a massive buying opportunity.
15p is absurdly mind-boggling low for a company with an inherent value easily north of 50p already, and due to reach 100