RE: back of the fag packet calks.20 Oct 2016 18:35
From the consolidated income statement (HY16) diluted EPS before special items is 13.14 cents, call it 10 pence.
So for the full year call it 20 pence and going forwards assuming debt reduction and other conditions improve I guess 30 pence.
Apply a PE ratio of 10 to that and you get £2 - £3 it may take 12 - 18 months to get there, so a small discount for time could be applied (8%) but the main discount should be for risk, which is subjective.
I have decided to apply a PE ratio of 6 which means I am valuing FXPO shares at between £1.20 and £1.80 as they stand right now.