RE: This is the bottom!!2 Jun 2023 22:10
Imo, the issue remains one of "time" and this factor will override any short term technicals that run contrary to it. For example, no rally will be able to sustain itself, or hold at a higher level, whilst there is this hiatus over Anza. Nothing is happening on any of the other projects either, which will generate sustained buying.
If the stock rallied tomorrow, for example, some might jump aboard for a short term swing trade, but eventually they will jump back off because they know that without any positive newsflow to sustain any move up, it will just as likely come back down and they will lose those gains.
You have to go back 3 years for when OMI last traded at these levels. Looking at the key levels then (although they are probably of marginal influence now, but the only reference point we have on the chart). I would say 3.5p was a key level back then, and if it doesn't hold, then 2.5p looks like the next key level to me from back then.
Again, what will ultimately determine whether or not support levels are breached in the longer term are not the technical indicators, but the more fundamental issue of "time". The longer this JV situation takes to resolve, the more likely it is that, starved of vital newsflow, which is the lifeblood of any AIM junior, the share price will suffer. "Time" is money in the markets, and having your money in a dead share represents an opportunity cost, as well as a complete waste of that time.
So I don't think people can be criticised for bailing out given the woeful webinars, which offered little clarity or hope of a positive and timely outcome, and probably did more harm than good to sentiment and nerves. I don't think BG could have put on a worse performance, even if he had tried, and seemed very unfazed by it all. LC was (marginally) better though, in that he seemed to show more 'oomph' at times. Hopefully, the next time they do a webinar, they will do much better and show a sense of positive direction. But I finish where I started, how much "time" are they going to take? All imo and dyor