RE: GDXJ dumping coming25 May 2023 14:39
Plode - your economics theory is correct; when interest rates rise then gold tends to be less favourable. So it's just as well Greatland has a very low AISC ($743/oz according to the last Newcrest financial assumption) compared to the price of gold (latest price around $1,950/oz). That's around $1,200/oz profit on each ounce Greatland will be selling some time next year.
Now even on a ridiculously and embarrassingly out of date MRE of 6.5m oz gold equivalent, amounting to 2.9m oz in Reserves for a 10 year projected mining plan Greatland will be making some $87m each year for its 30% share.
We are of course waiting for the ridiculously and embarrassingly late Feasibility Study to be released from the very firm clutches of Newcrest (or Newmont, who knows) setting out the results of their value enhancing options beyond the 2.9m oz Reserve plan already in place. So the annual profit figures will be even more eye-watering when they are released.
The other point to note is that interest rates are near to peaking already so when Greatland start producing next year interest rates will once again be on a downward trend, and hence the gold price is likely to be in their favour. Sounds like a perfect scenario to me.