RE: Why no bids.??31 Jul 2023 10:48
My guess is that in reality the ones at the negotiating table are not ZIOC and it's value is undefined.
As much as we're talking about mining, infrastructure etc, what we have at the moment is a company structure, (some part time directors/Marketing) loads of drilling data, and pieces of paper promising the rights to the asset.
I think ZIOC's valuation of 44M and change for a multi-billion asset reflects the immense political risk.
Thankfully we have a powerful player as a shareholder (Glencore) that will limit the odds of Nguesso&Co ripping up the paperwork and keeping it for themselves (like they did with Sundance)
Also, thankfully, due to the nature of the resource they cant raid the asset like they would with a bank, or a factory. (there is nothing to steal unless you put in the infrastructure first.)
So, I'm still hopeful that Vale or another big player will come in with the appetite to develop this greenfield asset, and that the stars will align for the port infrastructure to be built. (built first, obviously)
I'd also argue that the only really attractive solution would be to build slurry pipelines from zanaga to the coast (maybe in parrallel/collaboration with Sapro Mayoko?)
The previous BS about trucks on roads and small scale pilots misses the point of commercial viability that only is possible at large enough scale (I.e. 10MT+/year operation)
the question is not if anyone has the appetite to make a bid for ZIOC (on it's own it has almost no value) but if anyone is crazy enough to plow a few BN USD into ROC. (and make the deal with ROC, and indirectly getting bids for the Iron Assets)
Who knows, some players might just be getting closer......
GL,
GTA.