RE: Oversold & Undervalued10 Jun 2023 13:05
@smartyp1 said: They were meant to be doing remedial work on 141/142/145 so a new 142 well ? nobody knows but that suggests remedial activity hasn’t worked.
I think it's logical to assume that remedial activity hasn't worked. Maybe Badgernator is right and the reason for failure is an incompetent workforce. The new tenders for well 142 and 150 enforces the assumption for me. My guess is the work is being given to Baker Hughes to manage. It will be interesting to find out where the money is coming from? Very likely the shallow production will still be 2400 bopd.
The only success we have is where Baker Hughes have been assisting and that is the oil flow at deep well 802. I keep drumming on about this but with tight CF there is no chance the company would be drilling a new 803 deep well unless there has been some positive outcome on 802.
The rns for 802 well said the following:
The well had an original planned Total Depth of 5,200 meters targeting oil in the easier to drill Sandstone rather than Carboniferous rock, with an initial target at 4,300 meters below a salt layer between depths of 3,580 and 3,860 meters.
Oil was encountered sooner than expected at a depth of approximately 3,900 meters and before the well had been completed, leading to a decision to drill a new side-track from a depth of 2,416 meters to approximately 4,100 meters, targeting the oil at the higher level previously encountered.
In the June presentation it states the following cost for production of wells:
Shallow: 2,000 – 2,500 meters @ typically $2 million each
Deep. : 4,500 – 5.500 meters typically @ $10 million each
803 well cost is around $6.7m - I'm inferring from the above they are targeting somewhere between 2500 meters and 4500 metres? If my maths is right $7m will get you a drill to depth 3750 meters.
@Somm - Do you think they are targeting the same reservoir as 802 or higher?
I am a glass half full but in my opinion I think they will be announcing production on the deep well and the reason for the radio silence may just be that they are waiting to see if they can increase the bopd before announcing it to offset the bad news on the shallow structure. Again guessing but the money from here could be being used to fund the new shallow wells.
It's a mixed bag but honestly if you said to me the the only success is oil flow at deep structure then I would bite your arm off. This will be huge news for the company.
My advice as before is to hold and wait for news.
This is just my opinion but for transparency I have been known to get things wrong quite often. As usual DYOR and let's hope we get some good news this week - hopefully Monday.