When this is resolved,(no time soon) The government will need to replenish the coffers and the quickest way to do that is by not paying the oil companies. It could be months before gkp get any revenue. Expect a cut in the dividend.
Not much point in having a Divi when your capital is being eroded day after day. Are people in the know hearing the reserves update are going to disappoint. Also the April Divi deceleration is well overdue.
Sorry I cannot see oil at 140 this year. If demand starts to outstrip supply the Arabs will have no trouble increasing production. As someone else said everyone has their own opinion.