RE: Well17 Jun 2014 12:05
ITK ….. cheers for the reply
If I’m reading it correct we are not far away from wanting the same thing ……… you are looking for MRR to be £900k by the beginning of Sept, which would imply recurring revenue for the six months of about £4.65m (I’ve averaged out the 6 month MRR growth figure to get that number), OUT suggest non recurring revenue of around £1m for the full year, so a total revenue of around the £5m mark for the H/Y is feasible …….. I’m looking for £4m+ and MRR to start the second half of around your figure would be nice.
That £900k MRR on the 36% margin they have achieved previously would cut their monthly costs down to about £324k ………. so it would be in the right area!
Cash has always been tight, something I’ve acknowledged myself, £2.7m is what I was thinking plus another £1m on top if receivable are received as more than half of the the payables figure was accruals and deferred income …….. so they probably had £7.3m in cash through the H/Y
The IL3 platform would only see about £1m going out of the door for setup costs such as platform design, build, security and accreditation, the rest is OPEX until the IL3 achieves breakeven and contingency cash, so some wriggle room?!
All in all I think we are looking at the same thing financial performance wise, lol …….. , if the growth is there as hoped and is forecast to keep growing, then cash could be ok JUST …….. but like you I think it more likely they will need more, whether the growth in regular MRR is enough for some kind of short term Bank facility to have access to more working cap, I don’t know, but at the end of the day they listed to get access to cash! they have been clear on that.
Anyway, cheers again for ameteur analysis, it’s something I like to do, even if just like the Pro’s I’m very rarely correct.