RE: Could do ITS25 Aug 2023 15:50
The company is loss making for years, with yearly losses way above the market cap.
The company is dependant on its creditors who have £11m con notes at the lower of the 5 day vwap, which is currently around 0.25p and falling, or 0.5p. That is 11x the market cap, so 1100% dilution. These con notes also have a 20% coupon.
The NAV of £20m would never be achieved by an administrator and presumably no one other than the large shareholders want to finance this and only will do so on onerous terms.
I think you have a situation where either the shareholders will get very little or nothing back when the loans are called in, or the shareholders will be diluted many times over up on equity conversion.
In short, no, this ain't ever doing an Itsarm style rise!
There's a reason there has been very little volume traded in this in the past 18 months or so.
I suspect people buying in now, only did so because it dropped a lot in one day and they haven't read the news of the company in the past 2 years!
My guess is they will either shut the company down in the next 2 years or continue to lend money and dilution will eventually be ginormous.
If they do not have the 75% votes needed in the bag already, they can easily convert their notes to get it.