RE: The Truth is out there, somewhere !2 Aug 2020 12:23
I haven’t commented in a while – I don’t often do anyway but here’s my take on things now we’ve had some more indepth findings.
GOCG and Georgian government are corrupt – no debate in that. Their allegiance is with Russia – not Europe nor the US.
They have lied and deliberately been deceitful all through this process…..arbitration, contracts, media coverage, website. This is their style – much the same as we’ve seen both here in the UK and the US – lie and sound convincing and hopefully people will believe you – the more times you repeat the same lie, the more convincing its becomes – that’s the world we live in and it’s very much the Russian style influence. I wouldn’t be surprised if the “fake release” of the Arb was initiated by them.
However, I think they under estimated Zaza and the influence and backing he has within the US. I strongly believe the US are using FRR as a tool for driving change in Georgia. This is of significant geopolitical importance to the US and Europe.
So what can happen –
It looks like the arbitration results will be announced. Given the level of focus Zaza has put on the word “truth” I would be shocked and stunned if the arbitration result favoured GOCG in the manner they have insisted. Their bluff is about to be called! Personally I don’t think it will change anything with regards to FRR and future working relationships. Russia wants FRR out so the GOCG may try and find another angle to make this happen??
The key to success for FRR (and shareholders) is a new government – this is a must IMHO. However, Russia will try is hardest to keep the Dream Party in power – they will deploy their underhand tactics to achieve this – BUT hopefully this time – unlike the US presidency and Brexit – their attempts will fail. We have to pray this is the case.
It is obvious that the big players want into Block 12 in some shape or form -this has been made public by Zaza and is one of the reasons the release of the Arb has been delayed. Russia don’t want this….its threatens their stranglehold on Gas and energy supplies in Europe.
October is the key month for FRR. All the other stuff (courts cases, Hope/Outrider etc) is a bit of a side show and will be sorted if and when a new Gov is in place.
The US would not be actively using and supporting FRR to make political change only for the company go down the pan a few months later in some court case. Just doesn’t make sense.
Anyway – this is all just my opinion of course.
A big thanks to all who keep digging up some great info and translating into meaningful reading.
A final comment – more of a general observational one – its seems Russia and China play a very longterm strategic game – they are looking 10-20 years ahead. Everything they do has a strategic purpose - usually related to control, influence and power. The rest of the world are way behind in longterm strategic thinking.....sadly!