RE: 5 years29 Apr 2018 16:25
Glen = Either the 1 or 2 hour with the 8/34 EMA (not DEMA) crossover. If using the 1 hour, ignore signals generated by gap ups unless there's been a prolonged downtrend beforehand, as they can get sold off quickly.
The 2 hour will filter most of the bad signals out caused by gap ups or dead cat bounces.... but give you a later entry.. Once you're long I would manually make a target and exit even before the crossover happens again, as just as it lags a little for confirmation on the entry, it does the same for the short side, meaning a good bit of the profit can be gone before it gives the exit.
Months ago the 8/34 DEMA was reliable for Glen, giving early entries and good exits... but now traders are more edgy given the big run it's had so there are a lot of false starts where short term traders sell it off the second they're in unexpected profits from gap ups.
Another thing to be mindful off is where the trend is on the longer term charts daily, weekly and monthly. If the weekly and monthly are negative the overall trend is down for the very big moves, so that's all the more reason to take profit at reasonable rather than greedy levels and wait on the next opportunity.
You don't need to have skin in the game every single day... if that's what you want then you need to be spread betting both long and short. Or day trading long. There are 3 positions, long, short and OUT.
Right now the MACD is negative on weekly and came close on the 8/34 EMA... Glen could obviously stick two fingers up to that and start rising again... but it cam very close to throwing the toys out the pram. If it decides to do that, much lower could be seen. That#s not a prediction, just an observation.
Anyway here' a two hour chart...
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G6G-xvUjsgcU3YGUdjAuXm07HKh6NIno/view?usp=sharing
Will look at TLW later as going out again.