1300p target8 Apr 2024 11:00
Cavendish update just 10 days ago reiterating target price of 1,300p;
AUDIOBOOM GROUP (BOOM): CORP Six new top tier podcast partnerships, forecasts reiterated Audioboom has announced six new exclusive partnerships with top tier podcasts, which are expected to add over 4m downloads per month to the 110m per month in Q4 23. The six new podcasts (Pretty X Unfiltered, BDA with Katherine Schwarzenegger, Soder, Omnibus, Do We Know Them?, and George Conway Explains It All To Sarah Longwell) selected Audioboom’s differentiated platform due to factors such as its full suite of capabilities, which includes inventory creation tool AdRip, the automated advertising marketplace Showcase, and the November launch of Advet. After an increase in the platform’s ranking to fourth in the February Triton Digital podcast rankers, supported by the November win of four top-tier podcasts, the new podcasts will continue to drive download and market share growth across the US and international markets. Today’s announcement will also enable the platform to target new operational records, after the record global audience reach of 38.6m unique global listeners in January, and a record 1bn ad impressions created in October. In the coming months, we expect management will continue to focus on winning and renewing podcasts on attractive terms, such as the extension of key partnerships with five top-tier podcasts in March. Combined with strong early progress for the newly launched brand advertising unit, which is in early-stage commercial partnerships with 8 of the 15 largest US ad agencies, we expect Audioboom will be excellently positioned to capitalise on more positive ad market sentiment through FY24. At this point, we reiterate our FY24E forecasts, and crucially note that our FY24E revenue growth of +21% does not include an improvement in ad pricing beyond Q4 23 levels. Any improvement in the macro environment will then drive upside to our revenue forecasts, which will gear strongly to adjusted EBITDA and cash. We reiterate our target price, and look forward to Audioboom capitalising on its strong foundation through robust operating and financial momentum at the Q1 update in April, the renewal of key podcasts on attractive terms, and new podcast wins.