RE: This Board14 Jan 2026 11:30
Bamps your one of the good guys and iv been around for a long time and in ggp for a long time thank you. Of course you do realise the world is full of good and bad energy's and that is the whole point . Every time a good person exercises there empathy kindness and in some cases knowledge. They attract to the light the darkness as its curious . For both are the extremes of the same think. Info From Our new friend Grok not as good as real time but not a bad guesstimate. jGreatland Gold (GGP) reported a cash balance of A$948 million (debt-free) as of December 31, 2025, following a strong Q4 with a cash build of A$198 million after capital expenditures and a one-off A$46 million stamp duty payment—implying an underlying build of A$244 million excluding the duty.
The "next" cash balance likely refers to the end of Q1 2026 (March 31, 2026), based on the company's quarterly reporting cadence. Havieron remains in development with no production yet (first ore expected H2 2026, first gold H2 2027), so cash flows continue to stem primarily from Telfer operations.
Key assumptions for the estimate:
Production/sales: Similar to recent quarters, ~80,000 oz gold and ~3,400 t copper (midpoint of FY2026 guidance of 260,000–310,000 oz gold implies steady quarterly output).
Metal prices: Gold at ~US$4,630/oz (up ~10% from Q4 2025 average of ~US$4,200/oz); copper at ~US$6/lb (up ~17% from Q4 2025 average of ~US$5.15/lb).
Exchange rate: ~1.50 AUD per USD (based on current AUD/USD ~0.668).
Costs: AISC ~A$2,500/oz (mid-guidance), with sustaining capex included; growth capex ~A$60 million/quarter (from FY2026 total of A$230–260 million).
Other: No major one-offs assumed; taxes/working capital changes neutral based on recent trends.
Higher metal prices should boost revenues by ~20% vs. Q4 2025, leading to a stronger underlying cash build of ~A$300–350 million after capex (up from A$244 million underlying in Q4 2025, as margins expand with fixed costs).
Best guess for March 31, 2026 cash balance: A$1.25–1.30 billion (a ~30% increase quarter-over-quarter, driven by the price uplift). This aligns with GGP's robust operational momentum and unhedged exposure to rising prices, though it could vary with actual production, capex timing, or market volatility. Full details will come in the next quarterly update, expected late April 2026.