RE: New Estimate30 Jul 2025 17:13
Sprott's target price of A$9.60 is derived from a 1.0x NAV multiple applied to the NAV of A$6,719 million, divided by the fully diluted shares (702 million):
NAV per share = A$6,719 million / 702 million shares ≈ A$9.57
Adjusted target price: A$9.60 (after accounting for the reverse split and other factors).
This valuation assumes a gold price of US$3,000/oz and a 5% discount rate. The sensitivity table in the report shows how NAV and target price vary with gold prices and discount rates:
At US$2,600/oz and 5% discount: NAV ≈ A$3,790 million, or ~A$5.40/share.
At US$3,400/oz and 5% discount: NAV ≈ A$6,145 million, or ~A$8.75/share.
Given the current gold price assumption of US$3,115/oz for FY25 (per the report), which is close to the US$3,000/oz used for the target, the A$9.60 target seems reasonable as a base case.