Member Info for jonesrichard

Excellent post Myo, I agree 100 % with what you suspect has been going on.

then, as long as we keep moving up each week between now and end of September ready for take off then everything should look much different sp wise by the end of this year!

The figures on here state that today there were 2 milion buys vs 935000 sells yet the sp drops, doesn't make sense does it, makes you wonder how accurate those buy/sell figures are, then again it's not like the sp here has ever been exactly logically in how it behaves in relation to the trades so tomorrow it could just as easily be double the sells vs buys and the sp will end up on the day.

I'm genuinely feeling extremely confident at this point, after almost 6 years of being invested here, risking it all, for all these years I find the best mindset to stick to is that everything is going to work out just fine for us patient, loyal LTH's so I'm going to keep feeling positive about the future of this project until such time that I have any fresh reason not to feel positive.

I think I will keep believing that we could see the sp in the 30-40p range before the end of this year because, well it just makes me feel better about my investment here.

15LIves- I am in the same boat as you sir, all my eggs are in this basket, wonder how many others have all their savings exclusively in this stock? either way seems like we will only have to wait maximum 11 more weeks until we will be feeling pretty satisfied and will be well up on our investment and a exploratory committee will need to be convened to search for suitable venues for the £1 party which could take place at some point next year... on the other hand the sp could be somewhere under 5p where a little part of our mind will still be saying to ourselves 'look how many shares I can get for my next top up now' in a way it's kind of like an illness in a way as until the last person turns the lights out we will keep hoping that something or someone will appear to save us all and some new investor will bank roll the project and the sp will be back to 50p in no time. lol

Anyway as things stand everything is looking extremely positive, just hope for the sake of us 'all eggs in the same basket' investors that it stays that way so we will at least make a nice bit in 1-2 years as opposed to zero. Feeling extremely positive at this point in time!

we could in theory see an sp of 40p by the end of this year?

"SHORECAP UPBEAT ON OUTLOOK FOR SIRIUS MINERALS
(Sharecast News) - Analysts at ShoreCap sounded an upbeat note on the prospects for Sirius Minerals, the outfit developing the world\'s largest polyhalite deposit, in North Yorkshire.
To back up their case, they pointed to the fact that construction of the North Yorkshire mine was on track to produce its first polyhalite \"on time and in line\" with the approved budget, with \"good\" progress having been made on all aspects of the upcoming $3.0bn senior debt sale.

The debt sale was still seen going ahead in September 2019 \"if not earlier\", they said.

Their expectation was that it would rive a \"major\" re-rating in the share price, as it was the \"key\" to unlocking the company\'s \"vast\" value.

Yes, the company would remain variois years from turning cash generative, but as it progressed towards production it should become progressively derisked and \"enjoy significant value uplift\".

Under their base case assumptions, the miner\'s end-2019 net present value using an 8% discount rate was pegged at £6.3bn or 65p per share, or 40p a share on a risked basis.

ShoreCap was acting as joint broker to the firm."

I see we have had our standard reaction of the sp dropping everytime the company releases a positive quarterly update, I have honestly never seen a company consistently release positive quarterly updates yet each time without fail the sp loses ground.

To be fair the sp usually drops 4-5% on the day of these updates literally irrespective of what is contained within the actual update, obviously am used to it after having seen it happen so often but it never ceases to amaze me.

Anyway overall a very positive update today!

Thanks GaiasKidney, thought that Aubrey was never going to comprehend what I was trying to show him, hopefully he will now stop trolling me!

How they have determined what position they give each poster is obviously just based on who posts the most as how can Fred be considered a ramper or deramper? if you have read her posts you would realise that she is neither and just a genuine LTH.

Not going to lie though, deep down a little part of me is pretty pleased to have made it so high up any list! lol if I keep pushing my optimistic viewpoint I might break into the top 5 one day! (did I just type that out, my bad, that bit was meant to stay in just my head and to myself. lol )

You have to try and have a laugh with these sort of nonsense lists don't you, anyway onwards and upwards this week LTH's!!

Not sure how Myo can be described as a ramper or deramper asall he does is post informative, factual information so it shows what a nonsense these type of lists can be. Unbelievable.

Once again you keep concentrating on the £1 figure, you mention numbers, I mentioned nothing about numbers because sometimes actual numbers don't even come into play as sentiment can indeed move an sp much higher then you ever thought was possible, you obviously haven't been invested here that long, if you check the company's website and there can be some very informative info posted on here from posters such as myo, think you need to just immerse yourself to understand the potential of this project. Good luck to you. XX

I agree, I have all of my eggs in this basket, I understand that that would be too risky for some but in the end any share you invest in, even the supposedly 'safer' ftse 100 stocks can and do go bust so I decided 6 years ago I might as well go all and just keep adding to my holding, didn't have a exact figure in mind when I started out but now I am targeting 400.000 shares, up to 335,000 now so I'm hping that within the next 12-18 months I will reach my 400,000 target holding, won't complain if I don't get to add any more because the share has moved sharply back into the 30's, if that does happen that would just leave holding as it is but any time I can get any below 20p I will be snapping up as many as possible! good luck all in whatever strategy you decide to take.

Don't worry what other investors do Aubrey, each person has to make their own choices weather to buy and when to by by researching, if people are buying and selling shares based on what is posted on a BB then they shouldn't be investing in the first place.

like I said before you don't seem to have researched the company enough to understand the gravity and potential of this project, there is plenty of information available online and on Sirius's website, I suggest you have a good look then you may see where us LTH's are coming from. All the best to you. xx

I still reject your premise as a prediction can be predicated on things we already know, things that we don't yet know, sentiment, progress, takeover, anything could happen really with the sp here, I mean it usually behaves it an irrational way as any LTH will tell you so bearing in mind how I have seen the sp behave over the last 6 years I wouldn't rule out pretty much any price high or low in the future but if everything does goes to plan especially if significantly ahead of schedule then I believe the sp could be someone between 50p-£1 by the end of 2020/early 2021, not sure why you keep concentrating on the £1 figure , I mean it could be only 40-50p by then but just not ruling out where the sp could go around that time, sorry if you disagree, not sure what I can say, it's just my opinion based on what I've explained above, fair enough if you are not as optimistic as I am, not sure how long you have been invested or researched this project, you may need to do a little more research to properly understand the potential of this project. All the best. xx

I did just that it is only in my opinion, I didn't state anywhere that it would be and my justification is that I am basing the prediction of the project being delivered ahead of schedule without any further dilution so I reject the premise of your response.

The crew members who think it will go to 6p, that's their opinion or at least what they have been told to post on here by their boss presumably, either way I will stick with my prediction of possible sp 50p-£1 bearing in mind we are still a relatively unknown company/project bearing in mind the scale of our project and what it will do for this country but I think once we start to become better known throughout the country we will see a major new influx of large institutions taking long term positions which will push the sp into the range I am predicting, it will take some more patience but all in good time us LTH's will start to see the rewards that our patience deserves all only in my personal opinion.

aka a 'very special week' sp wise, the movement this week seems to have kept the deramping crews off this BB which has been been a welcome rest bite for us genuine LTH's, long may that continue, you know what they say, 'half % a day keeps the deramping crews away!' hopefully we will keep the momentum up for the next few weeks in anticipation of the conformation of homes being found for all of the bonds, that piece of news should see the sp move up significantly in my opinion to at least 25p, also my understanding is that the next quarterly update is due within the next 4 weeks which should contain the words 'ahead of schedule' in it somewhere so feeling extremely positive about the rest of this year now with regards to the progress of our amazing project. Well done LTH's hopefully we are past the most stinging period with regards to the sp and we can all look forward now to CF cutting the red ribbon late 2020/early 2021 and uttering those immortal words 'I now declare woodsmith mine open' just image where the sp will be on that day (somewhere between 50p-£1 I am hoping/guessing)

Yes ffc, tried that but still no joy, thanks debtnmarrijslave for posting the txt, really appreciate you going to the time and effort to do that for non subscribers such as myself.

With regards to the contents of the article itself, all in all fairly positive I think, will settle for 40p within the next 6-12 months bearing in mind everything us LTH's have had to go through over the years and years of patience.

Can anyone put up the txt from the article on here please? would be much appreciated as it keeps saying you need to sign up, even though it's free would still rather not sign up, have tried to get full article through google but no joy. Thanks in advance.

I agree ffc and hopefully the sp will be more reflective of the amazing progress that should be made over the next 6-12 months, by then 30p + should be at least the level the sp should be at but the way the sxx sp behaves in relation to the progress/news rarely makes any sense at all so quite frankly you could see the sp go to 50p + in a very short space of time or it could just as easily drop back under 12p, must be a very difficult share to call for traders at this point, thats why I just go for the safest way to reap the most rewards in the next 2 years and thats add to my holding when I can and don't sell a single share.

Slurms- they are part of crews that pick out particular stocks then they just target that stocks BB to attempt to sow discord amongst LTH's/new investors/inexperienced investors, you just have to try and ignore them or block them, they are hardly the most sophisticated group of people so you can spot a member of the crew from a mile off, I used to to occasionally bite myself until I realised that they were just part of a troll/deramp crew so it was pointless engaging with any of their arguments because they don't actually research any of the companys BB's that they target they are just directed to a particular BB for a certain amount of days until the sp recovers then you won't hear from them again as they would have moved on to their next target.

All you can do is ignore or filter them, engaging with them is a pointless exercise, anyway bonds should be be sorted soon and next quarterly update is due next month I believe so plenty to look forward to that will flush the creqw away them us LTH's can get back to posting about the project.