Member Info for john46

.5 % pa in bank is healthier than a +20% asset price correction , in my eyes

Re vix: exponential and swift when it occurs , more than likely UK markets will be closed , enhancing PI collateral damage

China’s Bubble Economy- Ripe for Bursting

"The main driver of this process is China’s bubble economy. If it bursts, the world goes into a depression. I am going to ask you to keep an open mind about this issue. Phrases like bursting bubbles, and world depression, likely sound like hyperbole, simply too far out there to really get serious about. No, its a real possibility and you need to consider it as such. In fact, the US and China have now been in a trade “Cold War” for 18 years now, since China entered into the WTO. But here is the thing…the USA hasn’t realized this until just recently. What is going on right now is the trade-cold war just broke out into a trade-hot war and the U.S. finally realizes it is one of the main combatants. The two sides are so far apart that there is no mutually agreeable solution. Both sides have launched the first round of weapons at each other (tariffs) and their effect has the potential to burst each others credit bubbles."

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article62712.html

"The economies of the world are at an inflection point. Enough data points have now presented themselves to be able to see the outlines of a major shift in the markets of the world. We are at a pay attention moment. There comes a time when a successful investor must make some hard decisions to position himself to be able to take advantage of opportunities down the road. The markets are telling us now is such a moment.

It’s time to sit up and pay attention to what Mr. Market is trying to tell us.

It appears we are at the top of the cycle, anecdotal evidence is now pouring in. But that is just a cyclical story. The bigger story is that major market forces that have been brewing in the system for 25-40 years are now coming to a head. They are now dovetailing with the cyclical turn and together they may cause a massive shift in the world’s economic structure which has been erected over these 25-40 years. Few can even imagine these changes let alone prepare themselves for them."

You haven't contributed anything constructive to this BB since you started trolling on here .

You can't pass deductions on here without seeking approval from the Guardian .

You come from a post Northern industrial town , whose assimilated youngsters , either sell drugs or groom white girls for subsequent abuse , and you don't have the imagination to tell us how you would coax them out the poverty trap !!!!

30 yrs of marriage , whose relief was it when the wife was no longer there ?

As you've told us before , other than giving a tip after a meal , probably to some some curry house immigrant on £1/hr , you haven't contributed anything constructive to Society .

Dense ? I'm a achiever who is leaving a constructive legacy .

Other than anger , what will be your legacy ?

I don't expect a reply , as the Guardian don't cater for this question

I only ever ask you simple questions , as I know it taxes your intellect , but how would you personally enhance Social Mobility ?

On another front.. for balance .. since mention is made of such things at times here... another scandal too appaliing to discuss emerging from a couple of roman catholic schools just now."

20 victims , against the +1000 girls groomed and raped by Muslims . You are showing your warped and distorted version of what is accepted behaviour .

You need psychiatric help , it would solve your anger management / filtering issues .

"John we know people go to university. And ee know some try hard to send their kids. That doesnt cover the subject sadly."

In your perceived vast wisdom , how do you propose to enhance Social mobility ?

Re :Social Mobility Commission .

My labourers personal mission statement is to get all their children through University . The way they're going it's an achievable task

Social mobility is achieved through Education , hard work and risk taking , you should know that . That is why T Blair dumbed down our Education system , whereby youngster didn't have to learn times tables and were given calculators to replace brain power . Amazing how 20 yrs later these victims of a Socialist experiment rebelled against the establishment and are attempting to save Britain .

"I am not left wing in any way.. my views are moderate as is my political stance."

You're the only non left winger I know who wants to perpetuate immigration .

As for moderate views , personally you're the only Fascist on this board . You are the one who at some stage has placed over half this debating Society on filter . I daren't think what you'd like to do to us if you were in power

"UTT & LTI for starters ....they said so. UTT hates all foreigners including Scots
Plenty more if you ask around on this board...like maybe wids....chancers? "

You are the one that compares the indigenous population of Britain to mongrels . You're not exactly placing yourself in a civilised light.

"Anyone got a psychological profiling on this?"

You asking questions , when you can't answer my simple question .

"We are in a very sorry state with infrastructure crumbling, police forces and our military cut to the bone, both main political parties in a mess. All far far worst than the EU that we wish to leave"

Germany pledges to boost defence spending | Financial Times
https://www.ft.com › content
14 May 2018 · Germany pledges to boost defence spending. Germany's defence minister has vowed to lift military spending to 1.5 per cent of gross domestic product by 2025 — a marked increase from current levels but still short of the 2 per cent target that Nato countries are formally committed to.

As a nation U.K. Spends 2% of GDP on Defence , unlike our EU cousins . German motorways are crumbling due to lack of maintenance and investment , since reunification

"Massive QE and ultra-low mortgage rates created a second – now artificial bubble – that has recently eclipsed the first one. And it looks almost identical in its size and buildup time – six years from 2012 into 2018.

This bubble will burst within the next year.

Its target is the low of 2012, and likely the low of early 2000. That creates a 40% to 50% downside in the next six years, into 2024-2025 or so.

So, what has happened since the first serious real estate downturn since the one from 1925 through 1933?

According to a study by the online apartment service RENTCafé, since 2007 ownership has dropped by 3.6 million and renters have gone up by 1.9 million.

Yes, that means more Millennials living with parents, and rising homelessness.

The causes are obvious: Much tighter lending standards, remarkably low supply – especially of affordable, less profitable starter homes – along with soaring prices and valuations…

Home prices have gone up 35%, while rent is up only 20% in the last five years, making home prices 75% more expensive than rental prices. Both are way above wage gains, which have been near nil.

Overall, the bubble and crash thus far are not nearly as bad as Japan.

Our demographics aren’t as unfavorable, but still very much so given the new model of subtracting dyers from peak buyers.

In this case, peak buying in the future is at age 42 for the U.S. and age 78 for dyers, as we don’t live as long as the Japanese on average."

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article62748.html

Surely , you could now pass for an immigrant and collect benefits . Lol

It was a simple question ,

I take it , targets and timeframes aren't your forte , the prerequisites of a successful business

You've only just appeared on this BB , and you give the impression of not having anything better to do with your day .

A1 is the head ramper by default , following in Mr Meercats footsteps .

I see with your 40p predictions for Lloy that you are a bullish ramper , and haven't carried out sufficient research .

How long do you think you will be posting on this BB ?

These AIMers appear every so often , and once they've made a fool of themselves , they complete a full circle .

ATB

"7. A Potential Deeper Crisis
Unfortunately, there are multiple reasons to believe that another recession could contribute to particularly severe market losses.

Among them is that the higher the height - the potentially greater the fall. As explored in the analysis linked here, historically low interest rates have contributed to historically high valuations in stocks, bonds and real estate. In the event of recession contributing to a market plunge or even new financial crisis, there could particularly devastating losses on a percentage basis in multiple asset categories.

There are also issues with the average age of the populations, as well as the far larger size of the national debt compared to 2008. Add in the rapidly escalating costs of paying for Social Security and Medicare promises, and the financial situation could be far worse than it was in 2009 or 2010."