RE: Double Down?19 Jun 2020 13:59
Under such a “moderately accelerated” scenario, the number of additional operational and construction jobs across solar PV and wind farms would rise dramatically from about 10 000 in 2021 to close to 40 000 in 2030. Steyn noted that these modelled employment figures had taken no account of possible manufacturing jobs, which could well arise once South Africa had a steady and credible build programme in place. Modelling work was also under way on a more “aggressive acceleration”, which would involve even higher investment and employment levels over the period. Enertrag South Africa CEO Dr Tobias Bishof-Niemz, who also participated in the webinar, estimated that the wind sector alone would invest between R300-billion and R400-billion and create 25 000 construction and operations jobs in South Africa by 2030 should the 1 600 MW allocation be sustained. Should South Africa “double down” under a green stimulus plan and bolster that yearly allocation to 3 000 MW, the investment value would rise to between R600-billion and R800billion, while almost 50 000 construction and operations jobs would be created. Yet more jobs could also be created in the manufacture of towers, blades, nacelles and gearboxes, but Bishof-Niemz stressed that most wind-related jobs were to be found in the construction and operation of wind farms. Hulisani CEO Marubini Raphulu told participants that the supply-chain disruptions experienced during the pandemic meant that countries, including South Africa, would reassess their local procurement strategies, including those governing the renewables sector. Raphulu also stressed that South Africa needed to take a more holistic view of energy as a catalyst for growth and should, thus, be focusing not only on electricity. Likewise, Bishof-Niemz argued that there was an opportunity for South Africa to couple its renewables stimulus to nonelectricity prospects such as the production and export of green hydrogen, which could be used to produce green steel, ammonia and aviation fuels. “The foundations for that export market and the beneficiation of South African wind can be laid now,” he argued, adding that South Africa should also seek to link its recovery with the green stimulus packages in Europe so as to ensure an even greater “bang for its stimulus buck”. Steyn cautioned, however, that a large green stimulus would only be achieved if fundamental policy, regulatory and market reforms were effected to address the policy and regulatory constraints currently confronting renewables developers in South Africa. “While there will be other challenges to achieving these large economic benefits for the livelihoods of South Africans, the main obstacles to success lie within our politics and the vision of our policymakers,” Steyn, who is a member of President Cyril Ramaphosa’s Presidential Economic Advisory Council, said. Policy uncertainty also presented a risk in other jurisdictions, with Global Wind Energy Council growth and partnerships director