Glyco reminder16 Nov 2022 12:11
From the Glycotest presentation
• Huge and growing populations with viral and non-viral hepatitis—driving progressive fibrosis, liver cancer risk and need for effective disease surveillance
o Cost effective HCC panel will enable early-stage HCC detection, lower cost treatment options, and better patient outcomes that will drive market adoption
• Estimated market value for the HCC Panel is $818 MM PA in the US alone
• Assumes only 620,000 US patients under surveillance—20% of 3.1 MM eligible patients
• In China…
• > 350,000 people die of liver cancer each year
• > 350MM people at risk for liver cancer due to serious liver disease—viral hepatitis, fatty liver disease and NASH, alcoholic liver disease and ASH
Top three liver disease countries are PRC, US and Japan. All three markets protected by patents – as is the EU.
So US market is $800m [above]
China has 5 times the US pop. Market size? Glyco receives 6% of gross sales – all net profit
Japan – half US pop – market size?
EU etc.
Run some figures based on the above with varying uptake at 55% GP [Edison] ex PRC which is full net profit on 6% gross sales for 15 years [
The cross holding with Fosan with the royalty is a masterstroke of accessing a huge market you otherwise would not penetrate. Proper management