RE: ICSID - Suspension24 Nov 2025 21:14
If you have any faith in AI:
Got it — let’s sketch out a **likely procedural timeline** following Procedural Order No. 4. Since the Tribunal rejected suspension, the case continues under “Scenario 2” of the timetable. Here’s how things usually unfold in ICSID arbitrations of this type:
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### 📅 Likely Timeline Ahead
**1. Within 10 days of Order (early November 2025)**
- Parties must submit a **joint proposal** on outstanding deadlines, including hearing dates.
- This sets the procedural calendar in motion.
**2. Late 2025 – Early 2026**
- **Document production phase**: exchange of evidence, requests for disclosure, and Tribunal rulings on contested production.
- **Witness/expert identification**: Claimants and Respondent list who will testify.
**3. Mid–Late 2026**
- **Merits submissions**:
- Claimants file their **Memorial on the Merits** (full case with evidence).
- Mexico files its **Counter-Memorial** (defense, jurisdiction/admissibility objections).
- Possible **Reply/Rejoinder** cycle depending on timetable.
**4. Late 2026 – Early 2027**
- **Hearings on the merits**: oral arguments, witness cross-examination, expert testimony.
- Hearings typically last 1–2 weeks, often in Washington D.C. or another agreed venue.
**5. 2027**
- **Post-hearing briefs**: written submissions summarizing arguments and evidence.
- Tribunal deliberations begin.
**6. 2028 (likely)**
- **Final Award**: Tribunal issues its decision on jurisdiction, merits, and damages (if any).
- Timing varies, but ICSID tribunals often take 12–18 months after hearings to issue an award.
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### ⚖️ Key Variables
- **Consolidation Tribunal**: If constituted under the Mexico–UK BIT, it could later suspend or merge proceedings. That would alter this timeline.
- **Procedural disputes**: Extensions, objections, or interim measures can push deadlines.
- **Settlement talks**: Parties may negotiate during the process, which could pause or end the arbitration.
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👉 So, unless consolidation changes things, you’re looking at **hearings around late 2026/early 2027** and a **final award in 2028**.
GL
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