FY results26 Jan 2023 22:29
I'm not expecting miracles for the sp after the results, and imo a lot will depend on what general market sentiment is on and around that day in early March.
However, with the exception of any market or macro nasties, I am expecting fireworks at the half year update in August. The market is still very wary of CPI because cloudy reporting and a lengthy transformation .
For example, at half year CPI produced 12 million FCF before one business sale costs and loss making contract payments, but the market didn't recognise that at the time.
It focused purely on a measly 100k profit against a 261 million profit the year earlier, but a year earlier didn't recognise the 261 because it was from business sales.
They will show FCF and profit but will also show one off business sale costs and additional final pension payments to shore up the pensions book.
They will also show reduced debt, but it probably won't be significant showing minimal debt until end of June.
They will also show revenue growth in the service division and portfolio, and hopefully experience will be flat as a minimum.
He told us all this in December, so really we know what to expect now.
The question is, what mood the markets will be in, how forward looking they will be, but I suspect we will have to wait until a set of results say FCF x amount, no adjustments, profit y amount, and net debt z amount, before really believing the company is increasing revenue with margin, and has minimal and manageable debt before rerating us. IMHO