RE: You have to question ….5 Jun 2025 17:00
Not much at all — you’re seeing what many of us long-term holders have been pointing to for a while.
The fundamentals have shifted massively in the past 6–12 months:
• £200m in the bank — that alone underpins a large chunk of the market cap.
• Technology is proven — with Shell, Linde, RWE, Ørsted all in the orbit, and the 100MW at Rhineland near completion.
• Scale is coming — 300MW+ pre-FID project already announced, backed by government funds (that’s key), and another 500MW project hinted at.
• Cost base has been cut, margins are improving, and breakeven is now clearly in sight — around 400MW per year, which is finally within striking distance based on the pipeline.
• Global tailwinds — EU, UK, US, and Asia all unlocking real hydrogen funding now, not just promises.
The short positions and FID delays? That’s just typical market inertia and caution — but most of these pre-FID projects didn’t even exist a year ago. Now governments are actually funding projects and putting infrastructure in place. That’s the big shift.
So no, you’re not missing much. If anything, the market is still underpricing what’s coming if even one of those big projects lands.