home18 Jun 2012 23:15
struggling retailer Home Retail which owns Homebase and Argos.
"We expect that the poor weather in April will have impacted both Argos and Homebase, the latter in particular. Argos should have seen some benefit from the digital switch over and generally decent consumer electricals' sales, but industry conditions will not have been helpful," the broker said.
It predicts a LFL sales decline of 4% and flat gross margins. "This is in line with early consensus, although the range is wide, from -1% to -6%," Panmure Gordon notes.
DIY chain Homebase will not have been helped by the wettest April in 100 years, prompting Panmure Gordon to forecast a like-for-like sales decline of 5% in this division, assisted by an improvement in May and June. "Consensus is for -8% but, again, the range is wide, from -4% to -12%," the broker informs.
"We look for flat gross margins, compared with a consensus for 25 basis points [a quarter of a percentage point]. Overall, falling like-for-like sales and high fixed costs means that profits will be down for the group," Panmure Gordon predicts.