BRBY11 Jul 2012 23:14
First quarter trading update: In a strange parallel to the Chinese economy, where the slightest slowdown in growth filters through to a drag on investor sentiment, Burberry is being taken in isolation. If set against yesterday's update from M&S, for example, the numbers are in a different league, as are the prospects. However, the shares' valuation is quite full and the weight of expectation is heavy. Added to this, the previous announcement of further investment in the company being likely to crimp margins in the medium term, along with concerns over the potential perils of luxury discretionary spending (let alone within the backdrop of fashion, where fads can change overnight) are bearing down on the shares. At the moment, from an investment perspective, it is difficult to pigeonhole the stock as either income (2% dividend yield) or growth (share price down 16% over the last three months, as compared to a 0.5% gain for the wider FTSE100). Even so, the company arguably remains the best house in a bad neighbourhood. Its exposure to Asia is supported by any economic upturn in the US or indeed Europe, and the 12% share price dip over the last year could prompt potential investors into having another look